Al Shabab vs Al Nasr Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League
Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League
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by Nella Wagah | in Saudi Pro League Predictions
Al Nassr will be looking to bounce back when they travel to Al Shabab for their next match in the Saudi Pro League. Both sides suffered defeats in the last round, and Al Nassr’s lead could be cut to two points this week, while Al Shabab’s safety is confirmed. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
While bottom-three side Al Riyadh could still match Al Shabab’s points tally this season, Al Shabab’s head-to-head advantage will see that they stay up. It therefore means the hosts are under no pressure at all heading into this game.
Their 5-1 loss to Al Taawon in the last game indicated as much, and they arrive for this game unbeaten in four.
Al Nassr, on the other hand, were last time out rattled in their title chase and are facing very tricky times ahead. The league leaders are coming off a 3-1 defeat at Al Qadsiah.
They retain their five-point lead, but by the time they play, this could have been slashed to just two points. Their next assignment after this will be against the side chasing them for the title – Al Hilal.
Al Nassr, therefore, do not have much room to wiggle, and dropping points is no longer a luxury they can afford. The visitors are the best-performing away side and will be expected to prevail here.
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Al Shabab v Al Nasr Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.8 | 5.8 | 1.31 |
|
|
7.26 | 5.75 | 1.32 |
|
|
8.35 | 6.03 | 1.28 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
|
|
7.4 | 5.6 | 1.33 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Al Shabab and Al Nasr?
Our prediction for the Al Shabab vs Al Nasr match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/05/2026 between Al Shabab and Al Nasr in Saudi Pro League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.43% for a win of Al Shabab against Al Nasr with odds of 8.35 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al Shabab vs Al Nasr is 15.42% with odds of 6.03 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 67.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Al Nasr vs Al Shabab with odds of 1.37 at Shangrila.
Al Shabab - Al Nasr Prediction and Best Odds:
| Al Shabab Al Nasr Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Al Nasr wins | 67.15% | 1.37 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.33% | |
| Both Team To Score | 62.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Al Nasr/Al Nasr | 40.39% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
Al Shabab vs Al Nasr Form
Al Shabab and Al Nasr's standings in the Saudi Pro League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | +63 |
|
13
|
35 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -13 |
Al Shabab and Al Nasr Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League
28 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
14 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
5 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
14 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
7 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League
28 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
14 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
27 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
23 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
13 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
5 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
7 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
20 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
7 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
29 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League
29 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
22 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
19 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
15 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
11 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
22 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
15 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
3 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
7 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
21 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League
19 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
11 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League
14 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League
28 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
25 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
Al Shabab vs Al Nasr Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
7 Mar 2025 - Saudi Pro League
18 Oct 2024 - Saudi Pro League
25 Feb 2024 - Saudi Pro League
29 Aug 2023 - Saudi Pro League
14 Jan 2023 - Saudi Pro League
Al Shabab against Al Nasr Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Rahma
DefenderH. Al-Sibyani
A. Makki
M. Al Shwirekh
MidfielderB. Al-Sayyali
U. Lorenzo
F. Al-Sibyani
ForwardA. Matuq Saeed
A. Al-Othman
A. Al-Otaibi
DefenderN. Washl
N. Al-Sharari
S. Alnajdi
S. Al Nasser
A. Al-Hassan
A. Alhamddan
M. Marran
Most goals and assists
Al Shabab
Al Nasr
Y. Carrasco
(18 Goals)
Cristiano Ronaldo
(28 Goals)
Y. Carrasco
(7 Assists)
Joao Felix
(13 Assists)
Al Shabab - Al Nasr Key Points
- Al Shabab’s last 10 matches saw 35 goals scored.
- Four of Al Nassr’s last five away matches had over 3.5 goals.
- The last five meetings between these teams had 24 goals netted.
- Al Nassr scored four or more goals in half of their last eight games.
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Our Al Shabab vs Al Nasr Prediction
Al Nassr are coming off their fifth loss in the league and will be desperate to bounce back. Fortunately for them, their next opponent is one they’ve dominated over time. In this fixture Al Nassr rarely fails to hit at least three goals.
Lately they’ve struggled to keep clean sheets, though, and we see a case where we could have another high-scoring match here. Our prediction for Al Shabab v Al Nassr is for the match to have more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Al Shabab Al Nasr
| Al Shabab vs Al Nasr | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab wins | 5.81 | 8.35 | +43.7% |
| Draw | 4.67 | 6.03 | +29.1% |
| Al Nasr wins | 1.46 | 1.37 | -6.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Al Nasr is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 68.5% and is now 73.0% (4.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
