Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Thobelani Moyo in Eredivisie Predictions
Ajax play host to NEC Nijmegen at Johan Cruijff ArenA on matchday 32 in the Eredivisie. Ajax lead at the top with a four-point cushion, while NEC Nijmegen are in 13th place. Here's our match prediction.
Ajax's minor blip in form in the Eredivisie has led to PSV Eindhoven slicing the point gap at the top of the table to just four points. Therefore, they can not afford to drop unnecessary points in their bid for the league title.
The Sons of the Gods managed to avoid a catastrophic result in their recent league game against Sparta Rotterdam by salvaging a point in a 1-1 home draw.
Head coach Francesco Farioli will be expecting an A+ performance from his team this time around, especially at Johan Cruijff ArenA. At this venue, they are unbeaten in 15 games (W12, D3) and are the only side that has maintained an unblemished record.
NEC Nijmegen have undeniably chosen a bad fixture to return to winning ways. You will have to go back to November 2005 for their last league win against Ajax.
On Saturday, NEC failed to get the job done against relegation playoff hopefuls Willem II, salvaging a point in a 1-1 home league draw. This extended their winless run to two games.
To make matters worse, they have won just two of their last 12 league games heading into this contest (D5, L5).
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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v NEC Nijmegen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 8.3 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.1 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen match is: Ajax to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2025 between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.58% for a win of Ajax against NEC Nijmegen with odds of 1.33 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen is 25.91% with odds of 5.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.51% chance ⭐ for a win of NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax with odds of 10 at Betwinner.
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
74 | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 36 |
|
13
|
34 | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | -2 |
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
29 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
15 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
29 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
1 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
15 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
18 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie
5 Mar 2023 - Eredivisie
8 Jan 2023 - Eredivisie
23 Apr 2022 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
K. Taylor
(14 Goals)
V. Van Crooij
(9 Goals)
K. Taylor
(7 Assists)
B. Onal
(3 Assists)
,
T. Ouwejan
(3 Assists)
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen Stats in Eredivisie
Ajax - NEC Nijmegen Key Points
- Ajax have won 12 of their last 15 home league games, during which eight ended with over 2.5 goals.
- NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last 29 encounters against Ajax.
- Ajax averages 2.4 goals per game when playing at home, and NEC Nijmegen averages 0.67 goals per game when playing away.
- Ajax have won seven of their last nine encounters against NEC Nijmegen. Five of those matches ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
Ajax have been dominating NEC Nijmegen for nearly 2 decades now. Such an imposing record is confirmation that they are likely to cruise to a comfortable win in front of their home crowd.
NEC Nijmegen have the joint-fourth worst away record in the Eredivisie. Nothing much can be expected from them in this one other than a convincing defeat. In the reverse fixture against Ajax, they slumped to a 2-1 home defeat. Expect a similar outcome this Sunday. Our Ajax v NEC Nijmegen prediction: Ajax to win and over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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