AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
Benfica go into the second leg of this Europa League play-off round match with a 3-1 lead. AGF Aarhus will need to be in an attacking mode if they want to claw their way back into this tie. Our prediction here is an open game and BTTS.
Aarhus are the Danish Superliga champions. They were beaten by Sabah in the third qualifying round of this season's Champions League. Both of their home games in that competition saw both teams get on the scoresheet.
They beat Sabah 2-1, but lost 4-1 to Lech Poznan. Five of their last six home European games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet. At all venues, it's nine of the last 13 that they have played in which BTTS has come up.
Benfica are used to playing in the Champions League. However, last season saw them finish in third place in the Primeira League, missing out on Champions League qualification by two points, two of their final three games were drawn costing them dearly.
The last round saw them beat Hearts 7-2 on aggregate with both teams scoring in each leg. They were in good form in the first leg of this tie winning 3-1 with all the goals being scored in the first half.
Four of their last five games have seen both teams score.
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AGF Aarhus v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.4 | 5 | 1.4 |
|
|
7.41 | 4.87 | 1.41 |
|
|
6.5 | 5.35 | 1.4 |
|
|
6.2 | 5.3 | 1.42 |
|
|
7.69 | 4.96 | 1.39 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AGF Aarhus and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Lisbon match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2026 between AGF Aarhus and Benfica Lisbon in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.75% for a win of AGF Aarhus against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 7.69 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Lisbon is 25.35% with odds of 5.5 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs AGF Aarhus with odds of 1.44 at Shangrila.
AGF Aarhus - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| AGF Aarhus Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 51.9% | 1.44 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.34% | 1.47 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 79.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 29.53% | 2.05 at Betsson |
AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Lisbon Form
AGF Aarhus and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Superliga
20 Aug 2026 - Europa League
14 Aug 2026 - Superliga
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
5 Aug 2026 - Champions League
1 Aug 2026 - Superliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Superliga
5 Aug 2026 - Champions League
25 Jul 2026 - Superliga
21 Jul 2026 - Champions League
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2026 - Europa League
14 Aug 2026 - Superliga
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
1 Aug 2026 - Superliga
29 Jul 2026 - Champions League
10 May 2026 - Superliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2026 - Europa League
17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Aug 2026 - Europa League
9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Aug 2026 - Europa League
30 Jul 2026 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2026 - Europa League
9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Aug 2026 - Europa League
30 Jul 2026 - Europa League
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Aug 2026 - Europa League
23 Jul 2026 - Europa League
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Aug 2026 - Europa League
AGF Aarhus against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
M. van der Raad
J. Hansen
DefenderC. Storch
E. Kahl
T. Molgaard
C. Rosler
M. Knudsen
M. Solbakken
ForwardF. Emmery
S. Tchamche
J. Bogere
S. Jorgensen
A. Trubin
DefenderA. Circati
J. Neto
G. Queiroz
MidfielderR. Rios
A. Schjelderup
M. Silva
ForwardJ. Kaminski
J. Duran
G. Moreira
A. Cabral
D. Lukebakio
AGF Aarhus - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Both teams have scored in five of the last six home European ties that Aarhus has played.
- Four of the last five Benfica games have seen both teams score.
- The first leg ended 3-1.
- Both teams have scored in nine of the last 13 European games Aarhus have played.
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Our AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Aarhus have a massive task on their hands if they are to make it into the league phase. The Whites are 3-1 down from the first leg and will need to go on the attack and take gambles at the back if they want to claw back that deficit.
Benfica are in good form at present and won their last game 7-0. Before that though, they were held to a 2-2 home draw. The Eagles do score lots of goals but can be fragile at the back. OurAGF Aarhus v Benfica prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AGF Aarhus Benfica Lisbon
| AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AGF Aarhus wins | 6.7 | 7.69 | +14.8% |
| Draw | 4.81 | 5.5 | +14.3% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.44 | 1.44 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 69.4% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
