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19 September 2023 - 12:45 

- Day 1

Europe - Champions League

AC Milan
VS
Newcastle

Prediction :

AC Milan wins the match

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AC Milan vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Prediction

Newcastle United are back in the Champions League and begin their campaign with an away game against Milan on Tuesday September 19. This is a Group F fixture and it's a really tough one with the other two teams to play being PSG and Borussia Dortmund. Not surprisingly it's been labeled the Group of Death. One thing is for sure, there'll be a good team going into the Europa League and one who will see their European season come to an end before Christmas. Newcastle will just be glad to be back in the competition after a 20-year absence. They haven't made the greatest of starts to the new season though. Milan reached the last four in the 2022-23 Champions League, being beaten by Inter who also defeated them at the weekend. 

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Newcastle Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.63 3.1 2.75
1xbet
2.48 3.28 3.1
22bet
2.48 3.28 3.1
Betwinner
2.37 3.66 2.78
Check all AC Milan vs Newcastle odds
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Who will win the AC Milan vs Newcastle Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between AC Milan and Newcastle of Champions League on 9/19/23 :

  • There is a probability of % ⭐ for AC Milan to win this match against Newcastle ⚽ with odds of 2.63 found at Bet365.
  • Betwinner ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.66 which implies a probability of %.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Newcastle to win the match are about 3.1 at 1xbet. That means a probability of %.

AC Milan vs Newcastle Teams Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
AC Milan
AC Milan
8 6 2 2 2 -3
4
Newcastle
Newcastle
5 6 1 2 3 -1

AC Milan and Newcastle Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
D W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

16 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  1
AC Milan

1 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  2
AC Milan

26 Aug 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
4 :  1
Turin

21 Aug 2023 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
AC Milan

13 Aug 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Novara

8 Aug 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
1 :  1
AC Milan
Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

16 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Brentford

2 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Newcastle

27 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Liverpool

19 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Newcastle

12 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  1
Aston Villa

6 Aug 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
4 :  0
Villarreal
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

AC Milan - Newcastle: Form Analysis

Hosts Milan will want to make a statement here, coming from a humiliating defeat by Inter Milan in Serie A. Milan's three-game winning run came to an abrupt end when they were beaten  5-1 at the hands of Inter Milan on Saturday. They were only 2-1 down going into the 69th minute but Inter finished strongly to condemn Milan to a heavy loss. This was the first game in which Milan had failed to score more than once in a game.  However, they have also struggled to keep clean sheets. In their four matches, they only managed a clean sheet in the first, a 2-0 win over Bologna. They come into this match in fourth place in Serie A, three points off the top of the table.  Home and away losses to Inter in the Champions League semis marked a disappoiting ending to an otherwise good campaign last season. Milan had also suffered home and away defeat to another English side, Chelsea that season, at the group stage. However, they did eliminate Tottenham from the competition at the knockouts. In their last five Champions League matches, Milan have one win, two losses and as many draws. They failed to score in three of the five Champions League matches, but the script is different at home. In the last four Champions League home matches, Milan have three wins.

Unlike Milan, Newcastle are coming into this game buoyed by a win in their last outing. They beat Brentford 1-0 at home last Saturday  A second half Callum Wilson penalty gave them a much needed win. They had won their opening league game of the season 5-1 against Aston Villa but since then had been beaten by Manchester City, Liverpool and Brighton and Hove Albion The win over Brentford lifted them to 12th in the Premier League but nine points behind leaders Manchester City. upset Brentford 1-0 in the Premier League through Callum Wilson's second half penalty. The Magpies last played in the Champions League in 2003, and will hope to mark a return in a big way. This will be their first competitive meeting with Milan, though they've played Inter Milan at San Siro before. The win over Brentford was their return to winning ways after earlier straight losses in three games. This will be Newcastle United's sixth game of the season. In the opening five they failed to score in just one – the 1-0 defeat to Manchester City. However, they haven't managed more than a goal in four matches after opening with a 5-1 win over Aston Villa. Twice in their last three matches Newcastle United have conceded more than a goal and have just a clean sheet. The visitors come into this game with straight losses in the last two away games. That extends their run without a win away from home to four matches. They have one win in six away matches.

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AC Milan against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
M. Maignan
2
D. Calabria
28
M. Thiaw
23
F. Tomori
19
T. Hernandez
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
33
R. Krunic
32
T. Pobega
21
S. Chukwueze
9
O. Giroud
10
R. Leao
10
A. Gordon
14
A. Isak
23
J. Murphy
8
S. Tonali
39
B. Guimaraes
36
S. Longstaff
33
D. Burn
4
S. Botman
5
F. Schar
2
K. Trippier
22
N. Pope

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Newcastle

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Midfielder

T. Pobega

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

N. Pope

Defender

M. Targett

S. Botman

Forward

Joelinton

C. Wilson

AC Milan & Newcastle Squad Analysis

AC Milan will be happy to welcome back England international Fikayo Tomori. The defender strengthens options at the back after serving suspension for the Inter. Milan game. The hosts will however be without another defender in Pierre Kalulu, who is out with a thigh issue. Ismael Bennacer is also among the players ruled out with injury. If it may serve as a positive for Milan, they suffered no more injuries from the Inter Milan defeat. Olivier Giroud didn't have much luck in this fixture during his time in England. He did score braces against Newcastle in 2014 and 2015 though, during his time at Arsenal. Coming into this game he has eight goals against Newcastle, all scored during his Arsenal days. He lasted 77 minutes against Inter and will want to continue with his good start to the season here.

As Newcastle takes to the pitch, a familiar face will be Sandro Tonali's. The former Milan man left for England in the summer after three seasons. He will however be in a race to recover from a knock that saw him stay on the bench over the weekend. Alexander Isak was also stayed over the weekend and is expected to trade places with Callum Wilson here. Meanwhile, Joe Willock, Emil Krafth and Joelinton will all be ruled out with injuries. Joelinton joins the two after picking up a knee injury during the international break.

AC Milan - Newcastle Key Points

  1. Milan have three wins in the last four Champions League home games
  2. Newcastle United have three losses in the last four matches
  3. Milan have three wins in their last four matches
  4. Newcastle United have two straight away losses
  5. Milan have four wins in five competitive home matches
  6. Milan have one loss in 13 competitive matches at home
  7. Newcastle United have one win in six away matches
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Our AC Milan vs Newcastle Prediction

AC Milan have a good run at home in competitive matches and will count on this against Newcastle United. They are much more experienced in Europe and face a side coming off a tough run in recent matches. Despite the improvements that have been seen at Newcastle they still tend to struggle against top opposition, especially on the road. Though Milan were subjected to a heavy loss last time out, they should be able to recover here. Our prediction for AC Milan v Newcastle United is for Milan to win

Prediction :

AC Milan wins the match

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AC Milan vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Three of the five games played by Newcastle United this season have seen over 2.5 goals scored. As for Milan, the stat obviously came up in their weekend defeat but also in their two previous fixtures.

Both teams to score

The last three Milan matches have all seen both teams score. The both teams to score statistic has come up in three of Newcastle's five league games played this season.
AC Milan vs Newcastle Prediction

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AC Milan vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions

This Champions League Group F game between Milan and Newcastle United is being played on Tuesday September 19 with a 17:45 (UK time) kick-off.

This is a home game for MIlan so the game is being played at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan. 

UK viewers will need to tune into TNT Sports to watch this match live. A subscription is required to watch this channel. If you can't see the game live, access the Sportytrader Livescore page for live text commentary and updated stats to help you with your betting.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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