AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
18/10/2026 12:00
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

AC Milan wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

AC Milan return to Serie A action after an exciting European outing and will welcome Atalanta on Sunday. Heading into this matchday seven encounter, Milan are in sixth place in the standings, sitting three points clear of their 10th-placed visitors. Milan won their last two home league games, and our prediction backs them to prevail here.

AC Milan are one of four teams still yet to taste defeat in the league this season. Ruben Amorim’s men have won three matches and sit on 12 points, occupying the final spot for Europe.

The Rossoneri, who drew 1-1 at Sassuolo last weekend, were 4-0 winners away to Salzburg in the Europa League. 

Atalanta have dominated this fixture in recent seasons. La Dea haven’t lost any of the last seven meetings with Milan, winning five times.

The visitors, who’ve won in their last two trips to the San Siro for this fixture, also have form on their side after recent victories. Maurizio Sarri’s men were also in Europe in midweek and have won back-to-back fixtures.

Atalanta followed up a 3-1 home win over Venezia last weekend with a similar 3-1 win over Pafos in the Conference League. The Orobics, who haven’t yet shared the spoils this season, are on nine points. 

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AC Milan v Atalanta Best Betting Odds

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1.76 3.85 4.30
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1.86 3.93 4.46
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1.80 3.78 4.30
Betwinner
1.80 3.78 4.30
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1.79 3.80 4.30
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Atalanta match is: AC Milan wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2026 between AC Milan and Atalanta in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.39% for a win of AC Milan against Atalanta with odds of 1.86 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Atalanta is 23.32% with odds of 3.93 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs AC Milan with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.

AC Milan vs Atalanta Form

AC Milan and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 AC Milan
12 6 3 3 0 +6
10 Atalanta
9 6 3 0 3 0

AC Milan and Atalanta Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
D D L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Salzburg
0 :  4
AC Milan

11 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
AC Milan

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan
L D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

28 Aug 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Venezia

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

24 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cagliari
L W D D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Salzburg
0 :  4
AC Milan

11 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
AC Milan

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
AC Milan

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

12 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna
D W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

12 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
D L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Atalanta

22 May 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta

AC Milan vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

0 %

Draw

33 %

Atalanta

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  3
Atalanta

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

6 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
AC Milan

25 Feb 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  2
Atalanta
AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction

AC Milan vs Atalanta last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
5
K. De Winter
31
S. Pavlovic
20
O. Hutchinson
30
A. Jashari
12
A. Rabiot
33
D. Bartesaghi
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
70
A. Cisse
73
F. Camarda
9
G. Scamacca
59
N. Zalewski
18
G. Raspadori
99
E. Elmas
70
G. Gaetano
8
M. Pasalic
47
L. Bernasconi
23
S. Kolasinac
31
T. Kristensen
77
D. Zappacosta
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Defender

S. Diawara

P. Estupinan

M. Gila

Midfielder

D. Moreira

C. Comotto

F. Terracciano

S. Chukwueze

Y. Musah

L. Modric

Forward

G. Ramos

C. Pulisic

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

M. Sonzogni

Defender

R. Obric

Midfielder

J. Idele

L. Samardzic

E. Silva

Forward

N. Krstovic

C. De Ketelaere

J. Rowe

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

M. Gabbia

Midfielder

A. Saelemaekers

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

T. Pompei

Defender

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

G. Scalvini

Midfielder

F. Kessie

E. Elmas

Forward

K. Sulemana

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
France A. Rabiot (3 Goals) , 
Belgium D. Moreira (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (2 Assists) , 
Nigeria S. Chukwueze (2 Assists)
Best assists
Italy G. Gaetano (1 Assists) , 
Poland N. Zalewski (1 Assists) , 
Macedonia E. Elmas (1 Assists) , 
Montenegro N. Krstovic (1 Assists)

AC Milan and Atalanta Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Atalanta
Atalanta
50%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
50%
50%
Draws
0%
2.67
Average goals per match
2.67
1.83
Goals scored per match
1.33
0.83
Goals conceded per match
1.33
50%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
33%
No goals conceded
17%
67%
BTTS
67%

AC Milan - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Milan are unbeaten after six matches in the league.
  2. Atalanta have lost three times in six outings in the Serie A.
  3. Atalanta lost both of their Serie A away matches this season.
  4. Milan have won both of their latest home games in the league.
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Our AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction

Our prediction for AC Milan v Atalanta is that AC Milan wins. These two teams are coming off exciting wins in Europe in midweek and will be keen on replicating the same on the domestic front. Atalanta have won back-to-back games and have a strong recent record in this fixture.

They, however, aren’t favorites here, as they have struggled away from home. The visitors have been on the receiving end on the road and have also struggled in attack. Their hosts, on the other hand, have produced their best performances at home, dominating on both ends of the pitch. 

Prediction :

 

AC Milan wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.