Tip AC Milan - Atalanta
Prediction published on May 12, 2022 at 2:37 PM - Modified on May 12, 2022 at 3:53 PM
Milan could win the Serie A title this weekend. The league leaders lead Inter by two points and host eighth placed Atalanta. A win for Milan and failure by Inter to get a victory at Cagliari will clinch the first title since 2011 for Milan. The home side are unbeaten in their last seven home league games with three of the last four won. Milan have kept five straight home league clean sheets and eight in the last nine. Only Udinese have scored a goal in an away league game against Milan since mid-January. Milan are looking to get a fourth straight win in Serie A but haven't the best of records against Atalanta. None of the last seven home league games against them has been won.
Atalanta need points from this game if they want European football next season. Another season in the Champions League isn't going to happen and it's not easy to get into either of the other two European competitions. They are behind seventh placed Fiorentina (Europa Conference League position) and Roma who are sixth (Europa League qualification place) on the same number of points. However, it's head-to-head results not goal difference that counts and Atalanta lose out on that. They are unbeaten in their last four league games, though two of the last three have ended level. Both of their last two away Serie A games have been won but they were both against sides in the bottom five. Key away matches at Fiorentina and Roma have both recently been lost. Milan can be backed to get a vital home win here.
Key points AC Milan - Atalanta
Milan have only conceded one goal in their last nine home league games.
Milan have won three of the last four home Serie A games.
Atalanta have lost recent away games against sides in the top seven.
Conclusion AC Milan - Atalanta
Not since 2011 have Milan won the Serie A title. They could win it this weekend but the battle with Inter may well go down to the last match. Milan have won 11 home league games this season and conceded just once in their last nine. Atalanta are struggling to get into Europe next season and recent away wins have come against poor sides. Back Milan to get three vital points.
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