1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Paderborn Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Paderborn are back in the Bundesliga after a six-year absence and start their 2026-27 campaign away against Mainz, who have hopes of bettering their mid-table finish. This match on Saturday at the Mewa Arena between the ‘05ers’ and the ‘Blue-Blacks’ could be a tough outing for the newly promoted side, with our match prediction backing a home win.
Mainz finished 10th in the Bundesliga last season with 40 points (W10, D10, L14). Paderborn finished third in the second division and defeated Wolfsburg in the play-offs to seal a return to the Bundesliga.
Mainz smashed Krieschow 9-0 away in the DFB Pokal first round to start the season on a high. Combined with the friendlies, the 05ers have eight wins from their last nine matches (D1).
That record isn’t great in the league, though, as Mainz won just two of their last six league games (D1, L3). That record is worse at home, where Mainz lost their last three Bundesliga games.
Paderborn won 4-2 away at Phonix Lubeck in the German Cup and have also gone unbeaten in three pre-season friendlies (W2, D1). They don’t have happy memories of playing in the top-flight, as Paderborn were relegated in each of their last two appearances in the Bundesliga. That said, just one defeat from their last nine away competitive games (W4, D4) underlines their threat.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Paderborn Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.54 | 4.9 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.61 | 6.14 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.54 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.54 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Paderborn?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Paderborn match is: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2026 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Paderborn in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.31% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Paderborn with odds of 1.72 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Paderborn is 15.97% with odds of 4.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Paderborn vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 6.15 at 888Starz.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Paderborn Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Paderborn Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 54.31% | 1.72 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.31% | 1.7 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.52% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : 1 Fsv Mainz 05/1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 22.76% | 2.55 at LSbet |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Paderborn Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Paderborn's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 |
|
15
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Paderborn Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2026 - Bundesliga
8 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
26 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2026 - Bundesliga
17 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Paderborn Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
A. Schwolow
DefenderR. Nakuzola
S. Posch
K. Potulski
S. Widmer
O. Ruoppi
L. Maloney
S. Kawasaki
ForwardR. Konigsdorffer
M. Schubert
DefenderJ. Sticker
C. Lippmann
T. Baack
O. Batista Meier
L. Djuric
D. Zeitler
N. Mohr
ForwardS. Tigges
Missing players
P. Nebel
E. Martel
ForwardB. Hollerbach
S. Katompa Mvumpa
N. Awortwie-Grant
ForwardS. Michel
T. Gayret
L. Eickel
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Paderborn
P. Tietz
(4 Goals)
S. Tigges
(1 Goals)
, 
S. Marino
(1 Goals)
, 
S. Castaneda
(1 Goals)
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
L. Curda
(1 Assists)
,
J. Sticker
(1 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Paderborn Key Points
- Paderborn lost four of their last five matches against Mainz, although they were played between 2008 and 2020.
- Mainz have won nine of their last ten matches.
- Mainz have won seven of their last 13 home competitive games, losing only three.
- Paderborn are playing in the Bundesliga after a six-year absence.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Paderborn Prediction
Mainz had an indifferent season last year in the Bundesliga, although they finished seven points outside the European qualification places. One of the strong results for the 05ers was reaching the quarter-finals of the UEFA Conference League, but league success will be top of the agenda this time. Paderborn are back in the top flight but will hope they won't be relegated straight away, like their previous two campaigns.
Mainz had a great pre-season, and that form could see them start on a high, so our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Paderborn prediction is 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Paderborn
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Paderborn | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 1.62 | 1.72 | +6.2% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.9 | +22.5% |
| Paderborn wins | 5.22 | 6.15 | +17.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 58.1% (-3.6%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs. Paderborn game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
