1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
There’s very little to separate Mainz and Leverkusen as they prepare for matchday five encounter in the Bundesliga on Saturday, although both teams bring contrasting forms to the Mewa Arena. This match between the 6th-placed ‘05ers’ and the fifth-placed ‘Black and Reds’ could be a test of the home team’s credentials, and our match prediction is an away win.
Ahead of this round of games, both teams have an identical record of W2, D1, L1 with seven points. Leverkusen are marginally above Mainz, thanks to a better goal difference.
Mainz went into the international break on the back of a 4-3 win away at Monchengladbach, but it was just their second win in four games (D1, L1). While that’s not too bad, Mainz will hope for consistency and post consecutive league wins for the first time since April.
There’s no guarantee of that though, as Mainz have failed to win their last five home league games (D1, L4).
Leverkusen defeated Leipzig 2-0 at home before the international break, for a third win in their last four competitive matches (D1). Each of those victories came with a clean sheet, and with only five goals conceded, they are among the best defensive sides.
That said, the visitors need to improve on their away form, having won just once in their last three competitive trips (W1, D1, L1).
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1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.95 | 3.85 | 2.17 |
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2.99 | 3.97 | 2.33 |
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2.89 | 3.82 | 2.25 |
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2.89 | 3.82 | 2.25 |
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2.9 | 3.84 | 2.23 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: Bayer Leverkusen wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.48% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen is 23.9% with odds of 3.97 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.33 at 1xbet.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 |
|
6
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Kinzig
DefenderS. Bell
D. da Costa
R. Nakuzola
MidfielderL. Maloney
O. Ruoppi
E. Martel
ForwardR. Konigsdorffer
B. Hollerbach
J. Blaswich
DefenderL. Vazquez
L. Bade
MidfielderJ. Hofmann
R. Andrich
M. Tillman
ForwardC. Kofane
M. Terrier
V. Boniface
Missing players
R. Zentner
DefenderS. Widmer
A. Caci
F. Gruber
MidfielderD. Kohr
P. Nebel
O. Ruoppi
ForwardS. Katompa Mvumpa
G. Doue
MidfielderK. Eichhorn
ForwardM. Culbreath
C. Kofane
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
P. Tietz
(4 Goals)
P. Schick
(4 Goals)
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
M. Gutierrez
(3 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Mainz lost four of their last five home league games, drawing the other.
- Leverkusen have won four of their six competitive matches this season.
- Leverkusen have six wins from their last 11 Bundesliga games.
- Leverkusen won four of their last five Bundesliga matches against Mainz.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Just a difference of one goal separates Mainz and Leverkusen, but there’s a sea of differences in their recent forms. Mainz posted just one win from their last four competitive games, while Leverkusen have three wins from their last four competitive matches. The visitors also have a good recent record against Mainz, which gives them a slight edge.
Three wins from their last four competitive matches, each with a clean sheet, give Leverkusen strong momentum for this fixture. That’s why our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is Bayer Leverkusen wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
