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Why this bet will be a winner

• Marseille v PSG

PSG are second in the table but have more away points than any other side. However, they have still lost four away league matches but have won the last four. Marseille have won their last three home games convincingly but before that lost 4-1 at home to leaders Monaco. That indicates problems when playing the very best sides so go for PSG to get the away win.

• Inter v Roma

Inter had a terrible start to the season but are up to fourth now and only six points away from the Champions League places. Only leaders Juventus have beaten them in recent weeks and now they host second placed Roma who are seven points behind Juventus. Their away form has cost them the chance to be leaders with five losses so far. Go for Inter to win this.

• Villareal v Real Madrid

Real Madrid had a surprising away defeat to Valencia in midweek and can’t afford another slip-up at sixth place Villarreal. The home side have had some good results lately with an away win at fifth placed Real Sociedad last week but have also lost to home to Valencia and drawn with Malaga, both in the bottom half of La Liga. Going for both teams to score looks the best option.

• Leicester v Liverpool

Leicester might have turned the corner with that narrow loss at Sevilla but they still lost again. By the time this game starts, the champs might even be in the bottom three and haven’t scored a league goal all year. Liverpool lack consistency but the defensive errors that the champions make could be fatal against the attacking midfielders and forwards that Liverpool possess, so I go for a Liverpool away win here.