Xiyu Wang vs Yue Yuan Prediction & Betting Tips - ATX Open

WTA - ATX Open

WTA 175 China
Xiyu Wang
03/03/2024 15:00
WTA 128 China
Yue Yuan

Prediction :

 

Xiyu Wang to win 2-0

 
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 by Ian John in Tennis Predictions

Sixth seed Xiyu Wang faces compatriot and eighth seed Yue Yuan in the ATX Open Final in Austin on Sunday evening. It will be the first occasion that the two Chinese players will have played a match on tour. Both players form has seen them climb the Live Rankings of late with Wang climbing to 51st and Yuan a career high of 57th, both after their semi-final victories. On her way to the final, Wang defeated Nadia Podoroski (7-5, 6-4), Darja Semenistaja (6-1, 6-2), Danielle Collins (6-2, ret.) and in the semi final top seed Anhelina Kalinina (6-3, 7-6(4)). She is yet to drop a set in Austin and this performance represents her best since her victory in Guanghzou WTA International in September 2023, where she beet top seed Magda Linette in the final comfortably, 6-0, 6-2.  In the last seven months she has also reached the final of the W100 Tokyo (losing to Viktorija Golubic) and the semi-final in Auckland back in January, where she lost to second seed Elina Svitolina. 

Austin will be the second final that Yue Yuan has reached in the past seven months after her defeat to Zhouxuan Bai in the W100 Takasaki back in November. She also reached the semi-finals in Hobart but disappointed at the Australian Open, Hua Hin and Doha with early defeats in all three events. Those performances droppoed her back down the rankings after steady improvement, but she her performances in Austin have her moving in the right direction again. She's beaten Arina Rodionova (3-6, 6-3, 6-1) followed by Taylor Townsend (6-3, 7-6(5)), Yafan Wang (6-3, 7-5) and most impressively Anna Schmiedlova of Slovakia in her semi final (6-0, 6-3). She improved her serve massively in the semi final, serving aces 13.7% of the time, an improvement of 12.4% on her quarter final performance in the win over Yafan Wang.

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Xiyu Wang vs Yue Yuan Form

Xiyu Wang and Yue Yuan Last Matches

Xiyu Wang Last matches
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Mar 2024 - ATX Open

Anhelina Kalinina
0 :  2
Xiyu Wang

1 Mar 2024 - ATX Open

Danielle Collins
abort
Xiyu Wang

29 Feb 2024 - ATX Open

Darja Semenistaja
0 :  2
Xiyu Wang

5 Feb 2024 - Abu Dhabi Open

Beatriz Haddad Maia
2 :  0
Xiyu Wang

31 Jan 2024 - Thailand Open

Dalma Galfi
2 :  1
Xiyu Wang

29 Jan 2024 - Thailand Open

Qiang Wang
0 :  2
Xiyu Wang
Yue Yuan Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Mar 2024 - ATX Open

Yue Yuan
2 :  0
Anna Karolína Schmiedlová

1 Mar 2024 - ATX Open

Yue Yuan
2 :  0
Yafan Wang

12 Jan 2024 - Hobart International

Yue Yuan
0 :  2
Emma Navarro

11 Jan 2024 - Hobart International

Yulia Putintseva
0 :  2
Yue Yuan

15 Oct 2023 - WTA Korea Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Yue Yuan

14 Oct 2023 - WTA Korea Open

Yue Yuan
2 :  1
Emina Bektas

Xiyu Wang - Yue Yuan Key Points

  1. Xiyu Wang has now won six of her last seven matches, Yue Yuan has won five of her last seven.
  2. Both players have played 16 matches this year, Wang winning 10 of the 16, while Yuan has a slightly better record winning 11 of her 16 matches.
  3. Wang has served 75 aces this year but also 66 double faults. Yuan has fewer aces (41) but significantly fewer double faults too (16).
  4. Overall though Wang's opponents have been considerably tougher on average with an average ranking of 132.5, whereas Yuan's opponents this year have averaged 223.9 in the rankings.
  5. Wang has not dropped a set on her way to the final, winning all seven sets she has played so far. She has lost both of her last 3-set matches (to Dalma Galfi in the Thailand Open and Jelena Ostapenko in the Dubai Duty Free Championships)
  6. Yuan was taken to three sets in her first round game against Arina Rodionova, but has found victories easier to come by as she has progressed through the tournament.
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Our Xiyu Wang vs Yue Yuan Prediction

Comparing the two ATX Open finalists, Xiyu Wang and Yue Yuan, it appears as if the serve is going to be the key point of this game. Yuan made a huge improvement in her service game against Schmiedlova, hitting a huge 13.7% of her serves as aces (her previous best this year was 7.3%) and she served no double faults. Wang tends to have a higher percentage of aces and hit 11.6% in her semi final win over Kalinina, but also served 13% double faults. That's far too many, especially after she did not serve any against Danielle Collins. This should be close but our prediction is Wang to take this by a 2-0 in sets. 

Prediction :

 

Xiyu Wang to win 2-0

 
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Xiyu Wang vs Yue Yuan Prediction