Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
Second seed Felix Auger-Aliassime has a tough opening match in the Cincinnati Open. He takes on unseeded Stefanos Tsitsipas. Looking at the statistics, a close match is likely and more than 0.5 tie-breaks in the match is our prediction,
Either 25th seed Arthur Rinderknech or unseeded Juan Manuel Cerundolo will be faced by the winner next.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has lost seven of his ten matches against Tsitsipas and he's won just one out fo five on outdoor hard courts. They met here in 2021 with Tsitsipas winning in three sets.
Auger-Aliassime is fourth in the world rankings, 45 places above his opponent. The Canadian has a 7-5 outdoor hard court record this year with one semi-final reached in Dubai and the fourth round in Indian Wells..
This is his first match since Wimbledon where he lost in the semi-finals. He's played six tie-breaks in his last two matches.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 11 of his 19 matches on this surface in 2026 with one quarter-final reached but six first or second round exits. His last tournament was in Montreal where he lost in round two to Joao Fonseca.
Round one here saw him beat Valentin Royer 7-6 7-5 His last two matches have both included a tie-break.
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Stefanos Tsitsipas v Felix Auger Aliassime Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.17 | 1.77 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.13 | 1.71 |
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Who will win the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime game on 16/08/2026 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 51.63% chance to win against Felix Auger Aliassime according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.2.
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 48.37% probability of winning facing Stefanos Tsitsipas ⭐ with odds of 1.77 at 1xbet.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 51.63 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 51.63 % |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 48.37 % |
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger Aliassime Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
1 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
29 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
19 Jul 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
3 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
19 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
19 Jul 2025 - Hopman Cup, Women
1 Mar 2025 - ATP Dubai Open
1 Nov 2023 - Rolex Paris Masters
13 Feb 2022 - ATP Rotterdam
23 Feb 2020 - ATP Marseille
Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points
- Auger-Aliassime has played six tie-breaks in his last two matches.
- The last two Tsitsipas matches have both included a tie-break.
- One of their previous outdoor hard court matches saw both sets decided by a tie-break.
- More than 0.5 tie-breaks have been played in five of Auger-Aliassime's last seven outdoor hard court matches.
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Our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction
Stefanos Tsitsipas was a finalist in this Masters tournament four years ago, but continues to struggle to climb back up the rankings. He has an excellent record against Auger-Aliassime, but can he reach round three in Cincinnati for the first time since 2023?
Felix Auger-Aliassime is a two-time quarter-finalist in this tournament. He's the world number four, but a fair way behind the top three. His recent matches have had plenty of tie-breaks played. Our Stefanos Tsitsipas v Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.