Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP 49 Greece
Stefanos Tsitsipas
16/08/2026 12:10
ATP 4 Canada
Felix Auger Aliassime

Prediction :

 

More than 0.5 tie-breaks

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions

Second seed Felix Auger-Aliassime has a tough opening match in the Cincinnati Open. He takes on unseeded Stefanos Tsitsipas. Looking at the statistics, a close match is likely and more than 0.5 tie-breaks in the match is our prediction,

Either 25th seed Arthur Rinderknech or unseeded Juan Manuel Cerundolo will be faced by the winner next.

Felix Auger-Aliassime has lost seven of his ten matches against Tsitsipas and he's won just one out fo five on outdoor hard courts.  They met here in 2021  with Tsitsipas winning in three sets. 

Auger-Aliassime is fourth in the world rankings, 45 places above his opponent. The Canadian has a 7-5 outdoor hard court record this year with one semi-final reached in Dubai and the fourth round in Indian Wells..

This is his first match since Wimbledon where he lost in the semi-finals. He's played six tie-breaks in his last two matches.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 11 of his 19 matches on this surface in 2026 with one quarter-final reached but six first or second round exits. His last tournament was in Montreal where he lost in round two to Joao Fonseca.

Round one here saw him beat Valentin Royer 7-6 7-5 His last two matches have both included a tie-break.

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Stefanos Tsitsipas v Felix Auger Aliassime Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.12 1.73
1xbet
2.17 1.77
Melbet
2.12 1.73
Betwinner
2.12 1.73
22bet
2.13 1.71
Check all Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime odds

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Who will win the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime game on 16/08/2026 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 51.63% chance to win against Felix Auger Aliassime according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.2.
  • Felix Auger Aliassime has a 48.37% probability of winning facing Stefanos Tsitsipas ⭐ with odds of 1.77 at 1xbet.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 51.63 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Stefanos Tsitsipas51.63 %
Felix Auger Aliassime48.37 %

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger Aliassime Last Matches

Stefanos Tsitsipas Last matches
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Valentin Royer
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  2
Joao Fonseca

4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Martin Damm Jr
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

1 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Keegan Rice

29 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

19 Jul 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  1
Raphael Collignon
Felix Auger Aliassime Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

7 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  3
Novak Djokovic

5 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

3 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  0
Michael Zheng

1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  0
Dino Prizmic

29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  0
Aleksandr Shevchenko

19 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Frances Tiafoe
2 :  1
Felix Auger Aliassime

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stefanos Tsitsipas

60 %

Felix Auger Aliassime

40 %

19 Jul 2025 - Hopman Cup, Women

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime

1 Mar 2025 - ATP Dubai Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Felix Auger Aliassime

1 Nov 2023 - Rolex Paris Masters

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Felix Auger Aliassime

13 Feb 2022 - ATP Rotterdam

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime

23 Feb 2020 - ATP Marseille

Felix Auger Aliassime
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points

  1. Auger-Aliassime has played six tie-breaks in his last two matches.
  2. The last two Tsitsipas matches have both included a tie-break.
  3. One of their previous outdoor hard court matches saw both sets decided by a tie-break.
  4. More than 0.5 tie-breaks have been played in five of Auger-Aliassime's last seven outdoor hard court matches.
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Our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas was a finalist in this Masters tournament four years ago, but continues to struggle to climb back up the rankings. He has an excellent record against Auger-Aliassime, but can he reach round three in Cincinnati for the first time since 2023?

Felix Auger-Aliassime is a two-time quarter-finalist in this tournament. He's the world number four, but a fair way behind the top three. His recent matches have had plenty of tie-breaks played. Our Stefanos Tsitsipas v Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.

Prediction :

 

More than 0.5 tie-breaks

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.