France - Top 14
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions
The new Top 14 season gets underway this weekend. The first match sees Stade Francais host newly-promoted Montauban. La Pink Army struggled last season but will hope to start the new term with a home win. Here's our match prediction.
Stade Francais finished 12th in the table last season, just a place and a point above the relegation zone. Only a final-day home win over Castres kept them in this division. It was their away form that caused them problems with all 13 league games being lost.
It was a different story at home though with ten wins and three losses. They won five of their last six home league games last season. The only loss in those fixtures was inflicted by champion Stade Toulousain.
Montauban are likely to face a long tough season to stay in Top 14. They only finished sixth in the second division last season, 17 points behind the automatic promotion places. Success came in the promotion play-offs and they were promoted to Top 14.
Bookmakers do not fancy their chances of avoiding an immediate return to Division 2. Montauban are the total outsiders and fully expected to finish bottom of the table. This is a tough start and we tip Stade Francais to win on a 20.5 points handicap.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Francais Paris v US Montalbanaise Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.03 | 51 | 11 |
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1.03 | 41 | 10 |
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1.05 | 21 | 11 |
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1.05 | 41 | 9 |
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1.05 | 46 | 10 |
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Stade Francais Paris vs US Montalbanaise Form
Stade Francais Paris and US Montalbanaise Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
31 May 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
27 Apr 2025 - Top 14
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
15 Feb 2025 - Top 14
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
31 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
27 Apr 2025 - Top 14
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
25 Jan 2025 - Top 14

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Jun 2025 - Pro D2
30 May 2025 - Pro D2
23 May 2025 - Pro D2
16 May 2025 - Pro D2
8 May 2025 - Pro D2
25 Apr 2025 - Pro D2
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
8 May 2025 - Pro D2
25 Apr 2025 - Pro D2
11 Apr 2025 - Pro D2
28 Mar 2025 - Pro D2
27 Feb 2025 - Pro D2
14 Feb 2025 - Pro D2
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Jun 2025 - Pro D2
30 May 2025 - Pro D2
23 May 2025 - Pro D2
16 May 2025 - Pro D2
18 Apr 2025 - Pro D2
3 Apr 2025 - Pro D2
Stade Francais Paris - US Montalbanaise Key Points
- Stade Francais won 10 of their 13 home league games last season.
- Stade Francais won five of their last six home league games last season, only being beaten by champions Stade Toulousain.
- Montauban only finished seventh in Division 2 last season, coming up via the play-offs.
- Montauban are the total outsiders with the bookmakers.
- Montauban lost three of their last four away league games in the main Division 2 season.
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Our Stade Francais Paris vs US Montalbanaise Prediction
Stade Francais had a forgettable season last year. It very nearly ended in them being relegated from Top 14 and it was their impressive home form that kept them in the division. Getting some wins on the road will be a major target this season.
They begin the 2025-26 season with a home game against newly-promoted Montauban. The visitors only finished seventh in the main season and lost nine away games, before winning the play-offs. Our Stade Francais v Montauban prediction is Stade Francais to win on a -20.5 points handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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