Czech Republic - Chance Liga
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
Matchday 11 in the Czech Chance Liga concludes with one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season as leaders Sparta host second-place Slavia in the Prague derby. Iron Sparta will be looking for some breathing room at the top, while Cervenobili can leapfrog their rivals with a win. Check out our match prediction below!
These two teams need no introduction, as they have faced one another over 300 times in their history and are routinely battling for the league title. Slavia got the better of Sparta last season, ending their two-year stay at the top and claiming their 21st league title. With these two expected to be neck-and-neck all season, these matchups are true championship six-pointers.
Matches between Sparta and Slavia two are always tight, as evidenced by the 2W, 2D, 2L records for each in their last six meetings with one another. In fact, only one of the last eight Prague derbies was settled by more than a one-goal margin. Who’ll come out on top in the City of a Hundred Spires?
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The Best Betting Odds for Sparta Prague v Slavia Prague Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.25 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.35 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sparta Prague and Slavia Prague?
Our prediction for the Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague match is: X or Slavia Prague.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Sparta Prague and Slavia Prague in Chance Liga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.66% for a win of Sparta Prague against Slavia Prague with odds of 2.35 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague is 21.42% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Slavia Prague vs Sparta Prague with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sparta Prague Slavia Prague Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 48.66% | 2.35 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.74% | 1.99 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sparta Prague/Sparta Prague | 19.3% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague Form
Sparta Prague and Slavia Prague's standings in the Chance Liga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
36 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 |
|
2
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
Sparta Prague and Slavia Prague Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
27 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
24 Sept 2025 - Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
14 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
31 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
20 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
31 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
24 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
24 Sept 2025 - Cup
14 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
27 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
26 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
23 Sept 2025 - Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
23 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
9 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
20 Jul 2025 - Chance Liga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
23 Sept 2025 - Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Chance Liga
30 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
16 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
3 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2025 - Chance Liga
8 Mar 2025 - Chance Liga
6 Oct 2024 - Chance Liga
11 May 2024 - Chance Liga
3 Mar 2024 - Chance Liga
28 Feb 2024 - Cup
Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague: Form Analysis
Sparta missed out on the top three last season and saw their two-year streak as league champions put to an end by Slavia Prague. Sparta have responded strongly in the 2025-26 campaign, racing to the top of the standings after taking 25 points from the first 30 available.
They come into this fixture off the back of a 4-1 home victory over Shamrock Rovers in the Conference League for their fourth win in a row across all competitions.
Sparta Prague are 9-0-0 at home this season across all competitions!
Indeed, when including their Conference League qualifying matches, Sparta have a 100% home winning record after nine appearances, scoring 26 and conceding eight. Free-scoring Sparta will be looking to keep up their great scoring run after netting 12 times in their last three games.
Slavia are one of only two unbeaten teams remaining in the Czech top flight. They haven’t put much of a foot wrong, winning seven and drawing three of their opening 10 league matches to put them just a point off their rivals at the top.
The visitors also have to juggle their participation in the Champions League as they returned to Europe’s top-tier club competition for the first time since the 2019-20 season. Slavia’s last outing saw them suffer an expected 3-0 away loss to Inter Milan, marking their first defeat of the season.
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Players list
P. Jensen
DefenderA. Preciado
A. Sorensen
F. Panak
S. Mannsverk
E. Uchenna Aririerisim
MidfielderM. Rynes
V. Birmancevic
K. Kairinen
ForwardL. Haraslin
J. Kuchta
J. Markovic
DefenderJ. Boril
D. Zima
T. Vlcek
D. Moses
MidfielderO. Dorley
L. Provod
M. Sadilek
ForwardO. Zmrzly
T. Chory
L. Vorlicky
Substitutes
J. Surovcik
DefenderJ. Zeleny
A. Sevinsky
J. Martinec
P. Kaderabek
MidfielderL. Haraslin
S. Eneme
S. Mannsverk
L. Sadilek
ForwardJ. Kuchta
G. Kuol
O. Kolar
DefenderY. Mbodji
O. Zmrzly
D. Hashioka
MidfielderD. Moses
L. Vorlicky
M. Sadilek
L. Provod
Y. Sanyang
ForwardM. Chytil
E. Prekop
Sparta Prague & Slavia Prague Squad Analysis
Sparta Prague will likely be without three players for this match as Elias Cobbaut, Magnus Andersen and Angelo Preciado miss out due to injury.
Right winger Veljko Birmancevic has been the in-form man for the hosts this season and leads the scoring charts with eight strikes in 14 appearances across all competitions. However, it’s midfielder Kaan Kairinen who really keeps Sparta ticking along.
The 26-year-old orchestrates the play from the center of the field in Brian Priske’s 3-4-3 system and ranks among the best in the position in pass accuracy, touches, chances created and accurate crosses.
Slavia’s main attacking threat will come through their terrific wingers: Lukas Provod and Vasil Kusej.
The two players lead Slavia Prague in goal contributions this season; Provod netting twice and chipping in six assists while Kusej has three goals and four assists.
They’ll be feeding target man striker Tomas Chory, who should be reintroduced into the starting 11 after coming on off the bench against Inter. Sparta will have to cope with his height and aerial prowess as Chory is averaging 4.86 aerial duels won per 90 minutes in the Czech League this season.
Slavia manager Jindrich Trpisovsky can be quite flexible with his formations. The visitors often line up in a 3-4-2-1 but have played a 4-2-3-1 at times recently, especially with the injuries to center backs Tomas Holes and Igoh Ogbu. Also missing out for Slavia is Dominik Javorcek, Petr Sevcik and Filip Horsky.
Most goals and assists
Sparta Prague
Slavia Prague
A. Rrahmani
(6 Goals)
T. Chory
(6 Goals)
A. Rrahmani
(1 Assists)
,
J. Kuchta
(1 Assists)
,
L. Sadilek
(1 Assists)
L. Provod
(2 Assists)
Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague Key Points
- Slavia have avoided defeat in four of their last six trips to the Generali Arena.
- Slavia have a two-day rest advantage, last playing on Tuesday while Sparta played on Thursday.
- Slavia Prague lead the league in big chances created (31), touches in the opponent box, corners and possession won in the final third.
- The visitors have yet to lose in the Chance Liga, winning seven and drawing three of their 10 matches.
- The visitors have the third-best defense in the league, conceding only seven goals while keeping four clean sheets.
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Our Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague Prediction
Sparta won this fixture 2-0 last season but benefited from a first half Slavia red card. They’re likely to get a much tougher challenge on Sunday and Slavia Prague have been able to get a result when coming to this ground in recent years.
The rest advantage could also prove to be significant, with the visitors having five days in between fixtures while the hosts have a short three-day turnaround. At this price, we believe there’s value on the away side to avoid defeat. Our Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague prediction: X or Slavia Prague.Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sparta Prague Slavia Prague
| Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 2.25 | 2.35 | +4.4% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.25 | -1.5% |
| Slavia Prague wins | 3.2 | 3.1 | -3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sparta Prague is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 42.6% (-1.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sparta Prague vs. Slavia Prague game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Sparta Prague and Slavia Prague? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Chance Liga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
