England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah in Championship Predictions
Southampton and Swansea will be looking to rise from their recent lows when they face off after the international break. On Saturday, Southampton welcomes the Swans to St. Mary’s Stadium for a Round 10 encounter. Heading into this encounter, Southampton sit 17th with 11 points, while Swansea have a point more, in 12th spot. In case you are looking to bet on this match, we have a prediction after our preview below.
Southampton are gunning for a straight return to the Premier League. That target is not going well so far, with the Saints having won just two of their first nine matches in the Championship.
Meanwhile, Swansea, who missed a top-six finish by just seven points last season, are looking to go a step higher and at least feature in the post-season playoffs. With that, Alan Sheehan’s side will seek to bag as much points as possible this early in the season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Swansea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.96 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Swansea?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Swansea match is: over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Southampton and Swansea in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.29% for a win of Southampton against Swansea with odds of 2.05 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Swansea is 23.45% with odds of 3.7 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Southampton with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
Southampton - Swansea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Swansea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 53.29% | 2.05 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 51.3% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | 1.85 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton | 31.39% | 5 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Swansea Form
Southampton and Swansea's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
|
15
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
Southampton and Swansea Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sep 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
14 Sep 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
14 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sep 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
17 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
17 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Southampton vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
8 Jan 2022 - FA Cup
8 May 2018 - Premier League
12 Aug 2017 - Premier League
Southampton - Swansea: Form Analysis
Southampton’s promotion credentials have come under scrutiny, while their quest for a straight return to the topflight has taken a hit. After their first nine league games, they’ve only beaten Wrexham and Sheffield United.
Their journey so far has been hampered by too many draws. The most recent of them was just before the international break, a 1-1 outcome away to Derby County. That was their fifth draw in the league this season, and their poor home form persists.
Will Still’s men have managed just a win in the last 14 home matches. Four wins in their last five home matches against Swansea is, however, a run to lift their confidence.
Home or away, Southampton have three straight wins against Swansea.
Swansea have also endured an inconsistent season in the Championship so far. Their 3-1 loss to Leicester City in the last outing marked a third defeat in the league this season.
One win in their last 11 away matches at Southampton won’t be a run to lift spirits at the visitors. The Swans have conceded 10 times so far in the league but have scored the same number of goals.
In their four away matches so far in the season, Swansea have registered two wins and as many losses. In those four matches, they managed just one clean sheet; their latest game on the road being a 2-1 comeback win over Blackburn.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Southampton against Swansea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
S. Edozie
R. Stewart
Southampton & Swansea Squad Analysis
Of Southampton’s 11 goals in the league this season, Adam Armstrong scored three times, having started six of their nine matches. Those came after attempting 23 shots, performance that gives him a 3.55 xG.
The Saints will, however, not be able to call on Brazilian left wing-back Welington. The player is still a few weeks away from full fitness following an ankle injury sustained in August.
The 24-year-old has started only three matches this season.
Swansea’s Zan Vipotnik has five goal involvements so far in the season.
At Swansea, the injury curse hasn’t left Ricardo Santos yet. The Portuguese defender is yet to kick a ball this season. For the better part of 2025, the 30-year-old has been dealing with knee and back injuries.
Between January and October, he has played just 67 minutes of competitive football.
Meanwhile, Korean forward Ji-Sung Eom scored his first goal of the season during the international break. He netted in the 2-0 win over Paraguay and will hope to carry that into this match.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Swansea
A. Armstrong
(3 Goals)
Z. Vipotnik
(6 Goals)
R. Stewart
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Fernandes
(1 Assists)
,
R. Fraser
(1 Assists)
Z. Inoussa
(2 Assists)
Southampton - Swansea Key Points
- In each of Southampton’s last five matches, both teams scored.
- Six of Southampton’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals scored.
- Both sides scored in four of Swansea’s last five matches.
- Four of Swansea’s last six matches had both teams score.
- Southampton scored at least three in each of the last three meetings between these teams.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Southampton vs Swansea Prediction
This fixture has been high-scoring in the two teams’ recent meetings. The last two meetings in the Championship produced nine goals, and earlier this year in the FA Cup Southampton beat Swansea 3-0.
That marked a third straight game against Swansea that Southampton scored three or more goals. Looking at the two teams’ recent games, there have been really few clean sheets, with both teams scoring more often than not. Our prediction for Southampton v Swansea City is for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Southampton vs Swansea - Other Interesting Predictions
Southampton to win
Southampton haven't had a great season but will have a positive feeling about this game. They have dominated recent matches against the Swans, scoring at least three in the last three meetings. This could be their chance to start a better run at home and our second prediction here is for Southampton to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Swansea
| Southampton vs Swansea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 1.62 | 1.96 | +21.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| Swansea wins | 5.5 | 3.7 | -32.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Southampton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 51.0% (-10.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Southampton vs. Swansea game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Southampton and Swansea? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Southampton vs Swansea match : Frequently asked questions
For viewers in the UK, the Southampton v Swansea City match will be aired on Sky Sports+. The match updates will also be available on the Championship page on Sportytrader.
The Southampton v Swansea City match will be played at the St. Mary’s Stadium.
The Southampton v Swansea City match will be played on Saturday 18th October.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
