ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
Top seed Jannik Sinner took his 2025 hard court record to 10-0 when beating Luca Nardi on Wednesday. That took the defending champion into the outdoor hard court Cincinnati Open and a quarter-final against 23rd seed Felix Auger-Aliassime. Here's our match prediction.
Sinner has not lost a hard court match in a year with 41 wins. This year has already seen him win the Australian Open, the only other hard court tournament he's played due to his enforced lay-off.
The Italian has won all three of his matches in this tournament in straight sets. In the last round, Adrian Mannarino did force a second set tie-break. Sinner now has a 29-3 record this year and tops both the overall rankings and ATP Live Race.
This might surprise you but Sinner has never beaten Auger-Aliassime. The Canadian has won both of their previous meetings. One wasn't just on this surface but in the 2022 Cincinnati Open. Sinner has improved greatly since then.
Auger-Aliassime is playing in the Cincinnati quarter-finals for the third time. He's also yet to drop a set and beat Benjamin Bonzi in the last round. 2025 has seen him win hard court titles in Adelaide and Montpellier with the Dubai final reached.
We go for Sinner to win and under 21.5 games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Felix Auger Aliassime Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.13 | 6 |
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1.14 | 5.5 |
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1.12 | 6 |
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1.13 | 5.5 |
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1.13 | 6.25 |
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Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form
Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger Aliassime Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
13 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
11 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
9 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
20 Jul 2025 - Hopman Cup, Women
19 Jul 2025 - Hopman Cup, Women
Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
2 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Jannik Sinner - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points
- Sinner has won his last 41 hard court matches.
- Auger-Aliassime last four completed matches in best-of-three sets tournaments have all had under 21.5 games played, win or lose.
- In best-of-three sets matches, five of Sinner's last eight matches have had under 21.5 games played in them.
- Sinner hasn't lost a hard court match since August 2024.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction
Jannik SInner just keeps on winning hard court matches. The world number one has an incredible record on this surface over the past twelve months and another Cincinnati Open title is looking extremely likely.
To reach the last four, he has to beat Auger-Aliassime for the first time. They last met in 2022 and Sinner's form has gone through the roof since then and we fully expect a first win for the Italian. Our Jannik Sinner v Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction is Jannik SInner to win and under 21.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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