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Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Bastad Open

ATP - ATP Bastad Open

ATP 37 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
16/07/2025 16:15
ATP 298
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Prediction :

 

Nicolai to win at least one set

1.72
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Fourth seed Sebastian Baez will square off with qualifier Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the second round at ATP Bastad. This marks the first match between the two, and we have a prediction for it, with the winner scheduled to meet Elias Ymer or Luciano Darderi next.

Baez’s season started on a very promising note, as he won the Rio de Janeiro Open title. Things then took a dip for the Argentine, who comes into this game on a 16-16 record.

Baez is definitely among players happy for the return of the clay swing. He holds a 16-11 record on the surface this season.

In the Argentine’s last outing, he retired in the third set against Jack Draper at Wimbledon, and comes here placed 45th in the live rank.

At Bastad, Nicolai is having his first taste of a main draw on the tour this season. He earlier lost in the qualifying rounds at Monte Carlo and Wimbledon.

His highlight for the season was winning the Glasgow Challenger title.

After overcoming fellow qualifier Thiago Monteiro in three sets in Round 1, Nicolai enters this game placed 253rd in the live rank. That is a new career high for the Norwegian, who has only suffered one loss in his last six matches. He has a big test ahead and will be banking on recent form for a lift.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 3.2
William Hill
1.33 3.3
Betway
1.3 3.5
Ladbrokes
1.35 3
Vbet
1.33 3.05
Check all Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer odds
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer match is: Nicolai to win at least one set.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer game on 16/07/2025 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:

  • Sebastian Baez has a 50.01% chance to win against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has a 49.99% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Betway.

Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 50.01 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Baez50.01 %
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer49.99 %

Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Form

Sebastian Baez and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
L L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jack Draper
abort
Sebastian Baez

26 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
3 :  2
Sebastian Baez

20 May 2025 - ATP Hamburg Open

Sebastian Baez
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

15 May 2025 - Bordeaux, France

Rinky Hijikata
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Vit Kopriva
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Sebastian Baez
1 :  2
Damir Dzumhur
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

15 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Thiago Monteiro
1 :  2
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

14 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
2 :  1
Pablo Llamas Ruiz

13 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Thiago Seyboth Wild
0 :  2
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

8 Jul 2025 - ATP Challenger Nottingham 3, Great Britain Men Singles

Jack Pinnington Jones
2 :  0
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

7 Jul 2025 - ATP Challenger Nottingham 3, Great Britain Men Singles

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
2 :  1
Amit Vales

7 Jul 2025 - ATP Challenger Nottingham 3, Great Britain Men Singles

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
2 :  0
Lorenzo Lorusso
Compare Sebastian Baez and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer with our comparison tool.

Sebastian Baez - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Key Points

  1. In his last nine matches on clay, Nicolai won six times.
  2. Nicolai won at least one set in seven of his last 10 matches.
  3. Eight of Baez’s last 14 clay court matches needed a deciding set.
  4. In 15 matches on clay Baez has six wins, but only three were in straight sets.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction

Returning to the clay swing lifts Sebastian Baez’s hopes. After a first-round bye, his path seems pretty manageable, and he should prevail in the second round. However, the Argentine must rise from his recent poor run that has him on one win in nine matches.

He faces a tricky opponent here. Though ranking low, Nicolai has won seven of his last nine matches. He has six wins in the last nine outings on clay and looks likely to trouble Baez. Our prediction for Sebastian Baez v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is for Nicolai to win at least one set.

Prediction :

 

Nicolai to win at least one set

1.72
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sebastian Baez vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction
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