Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA China Open
WTA - WTA China Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Aryna Sabalenka is gunning for her first Beijing Open title, and her quest starts in the second round against Renata Zarazua. This will be the two players’ second meeting, and our prediction backs Sabalenka to sail through again.
On tour this season, Zarazua has only progressed past the second round twice. She intends to improve on that record, but this may not be the place for it.
The Mexican has lost in the first round each of her last five matches and failed to win more than a match in her last seven events. In her only meeting with Sabalenka, Zarazua suffered a straight-set defeat.
A first-round revenge act over Anna Bondar earned her this slot, but she’s never won multiple main draw matches at the WTA 1000 level.
Sabalenka’s season took another negative dive last time out as she lost to Elena Rybakina in the US Open final. With that also went her world No. 1 rank, so she has a lot to prove here.
The Belarusian is a three-time quarter-finalist in Beijing and will hope to go deeper, having skipped the 2025 edition with injury. The 28-year-old has not lost in the second round this season.
She has won 92% of her hardcourt matches, contributing to her season’s compilation of a 46-9 record. In her only meeting with Zarazua in Brisbane last season, Sabalenka won by the loss of four games.
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Renata Zarazua v Aryna Sabalenka Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
16 | 1.02 |
|
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24 | 1.01 |
|
|
16 | 1.01 |
|
|
16 | 1.01 |
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|
17 | 1.03 |
|
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Who will win the Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka match is: Aryna Sabalenka at -7.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka game on 02/10/2026 of the current WTA China Open season:
- Renata Zarazua has a 14.91% chance to win against Aryna Sabalenka according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 24.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 85.09% probability of winning facing Renata Zarazua ⭐ with odds of 1.03 at Bet365.
Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Renata Zarazua has a 14.91 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Renata Zarazua | 14.91 % |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 85.09 % |
Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Form
Renata Zarazua and Aryna Sabalenka Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
30 Sept 2026 - WTA China Open
22 Sept 2026 - WTA Korea Open
14 Sept 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
30 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open
24 Aug 2026 - WTA Monterrey Open
11 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
12 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
10 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
8 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
6 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
4 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
2 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
Renata Zarazua - Aryna Sabalenka Key Points
- Sabalenka only lost four games in her past meeting with Zarazua.
- Zarazua has suffered six defeats in her last seven matches.
- Sabalenka has an 8-5 record at the Beijing Open.
- Zarazua dropped nine games in her first-round encounter.
- Zarazua has never won multiple main draw matches at the WTA 1000 level.
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Our Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction
Renata Zarazua’s push to better her season may have to go beyond the China Open. Her record at the early stages hasn’t been great, yet here she meets a bruised Sabalenka. She was completely overpowered in her only meeting with the world No. 2, and there is a risk for the same here.
Sabalenka hasn’t lost a second-round match this season and comes here after an extended rest to recuperate. Our prediction for Renata Zarazua v Aryna Sabalenka is for Aryna Sabalenka at -7.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
