Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
Can Rafael Jodar reach his first Masters final? The 12th seed takes on fifth-seeded Daniil Medvedev in the last four of the outdoor hard court Shanghai Masters. Medvedev is in great form at present and recently won the Chengdu Open. Our prediction is he will win this match.
The winner will face either top seed Alexander Zverev or 25th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in Sunday's final.
Rafael Jodar has reached one ATP Tour outdoor hard court final, that was in Washington in July of this year.
The Spaniard was also a semi-finalist in this year's outdoor hard court Canadian Open. He has made it to the last four in Shanghai with victories over Thiago Agustin Tirante, 22nd seed Jiri Lehecka, Botic van de Zandschulp and in the last eight, 20th seed Casper Ruud. All his matches have gone to a deciding set.
Daniil Medvedev has reached his eighth ATP Tour semi-final of the year. He's made it into four finals on this surface, winning three of them. This is his third straight outdoor hard court semi-final. Of his last 12 matches, his only loss was when defaulting against Novak Djokovic, though he was close to defeat.
The Russian has reached this semi-final for the loss of two sets. Both Jan-Lennard Struff and Tommy Paul winning a set against him.
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Rafael Jodar v Daniil Medvedev Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 1.48 |
|
|
2.64 | 1.51 |
|
|
2.61 | 1.50 |
|
|
2.61 | 1.50 |
|
|
2.75 | 1.44 |
|
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Who will win the Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev match is: Daniil Medvedev wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev game on 16/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Rafael Jodar has a 35.91% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.75.
- Daniil Medvedev has a 64.09% probability of winning facing Rafael Jodar ⭐ with odds of 1.55 at Betway.
Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Jodar has a 35.91 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | 35.91 % |
| Daniil Medvedev | 64.09 % |
Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Rafael Jodar and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
16 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
13 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
19 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
16 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
14 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
3 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Rafael Jodar - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Medvedev is playing in his third straight semi-final.
- Medvedev has won three ATP Tour outdoor hard court titles this year.
- Jodar has had to go to a deciding set in all his matches in this tournament.
- Medvedev has won 11 of his last 12 matches.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Daniil Medvedev is so consistent at present. He won the Chengdu Open and was a semi-finalist in Beijing. The Russian has won three ATP Tour outdoor hard court titles in 2026. He has reached this final for the loss of two sets and has only lost one of his last 12 matches.
It's been a long route to the semi-finals for Rafael Jodar. The Spaniard has had to play 12 sets in nine-and-half-hours, spending nearly three hours more on court than Medvedev. Our Rafael Jodar v Daniil Medvedev prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
