Port Vale vs Bristol City Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Ian John | in FA Cup Predictions
After their initial date saw the game postponed, Port Vale host Bristol Rovers in their delayed FA Cup Fourth Round clash in midweek. Jon Brady's Valiants start the game with home advantage but as large underdogs against Gerhard Struber's Robins, who will be hoping a flying visit sees them confirm many a match prediction of a win for the visitors.
The current league table certainly seems to suggest that the bookies have the odds correct for the game. Vale are currently rock bottom of League One, with 27 points from 34 games, eleven points from safety. In contrast the Red Cider Army lie tenth in the Championship with 50 points from 35 games, eight outside of the playoffs.
In the FA Cup this season, Port Vale have beaten Maldon & Tiptree 5-1 in the First Round, then followed that up with two 1-0 wins over Bristol Rovers and Fleetwood Town, all at home. Recent results have seen Vale lose 2-1 at Stevenage, win 1-0 at Northampton and draw two home games 1-1 against Reading and most recently, Luton. Town.
Bristol City beat Watford 5-1 in tthe third round to reach this stage, but their recent league form has been more erratic. Recent results include a 2-2 home draw with Wrexham, a 1-0 loss away to Swansea, a 2-1 win at Blackburn and at the weekend a 2-1 home defeat to Watford.
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Port Vale v Bristol City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 3.65 | 1.76 |
|
|
4.66 | 3.68 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.66 | 3.68 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.6 | 1.79 |
|
|
4.3 | 3.6 | 1.81 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Port Vale and Bristol City?
Our prediction for the Port Vale vs Bristol City match is: Bristol City wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/03/2026 between Port Vale and Bristol City in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.83% for a win of Port Vale against Bristol City with odds of 4.66 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Port Vale vs Bristol City is 29.83% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Bristol City vs Port Vale with odds of 1.87 at Tonybet.
Port Vale - Bristol City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Port Vale Bristol City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins | 41.33% | 1.87 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.51% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bristol City/Bristol City | 15.81% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
Port Vale vs Bristol City Form
Port Vale and Bristol City Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - League One
24 Feb 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
17 Feb 2026 - League One
10 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy
7 Feb 2026 - League One
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
10 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy
7 Feb 2026 - League One
3 Feb 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - League One
17 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
29 Dec 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
17 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
30 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Championship
17 Feb 2026 - Championship
30 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
Port Vale against Bristol City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
B. Amos
DefenderJ. Headley
K. John
E. Campbell
O. Hernandez
G. Ward
D. Brown
A. Gray
J. Stockley
R. Vitek
DefenderN. Borges
G. Tanner
M. Thelwell
MidfielderJ. Knight
A. Randell
T. Horvat
M. Sykes
E. Riis
Missing players
L. McNally
MidfielderJ. Williams
Port Vale - Bristol City Key Points
- Port Vale have not won any of their last five home games (D3, L2).
- Bristol City have won two of their last three away from home.
- Bristol City have won eight of the last nine against Port Vale drawing the other.
- City have the 8th best away record in the Championship.
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Our Port Vale vs Bristol City Prediction
Our prediction for the Port Vale vs. Bristol City FA Cup Fourth Round match is: Bristol City wins.
The Robins are not only in a higher division than Port Vale, they are also considerably higher up that division, wheras Vale sit at the foot of the League One table. Recent form also suggests Bristol City are the more likely to win the tie than a Vale team without a win at home in five. As such, the most sensible bet here is to back Bristol City for the win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Port Vale Bristol City
| Port Vale vs Bristol City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale wins | 4.23 | 4.66 | +10.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.7 | +5.7% |
| Bristol City wins | 1.77 | 1.87 | +5.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bristol City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.5% and is now 53.5% (-3.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
