Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Montpellier
ATP - ATP Montpellier
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Fresh from reaching a Challenger Tour final, Luca Nardi takes on Nikoloz Basilashvili in round one of the Montpellier ATP 250 tournament. The winner will face second seed Flavio Cobolli in round two. Time for our match prediction.
Both players are unseeded in this indoor hard court tournament. Nardi is playing here for the third time but is yet to win a main draw match. The 22-year-old lost his first three matches of 2026 but won a set in two of them.
After a first round exit in the Australian Open, he played in the Manama outdoor hard court Challenger Tour event. Four matches were won before being beaten in the final by Kyrian Jacquet. Nardi is 106th in the live rankings.
Nikoloz Basilashvili has made a disappointing start to the new year. Only one of his four matches in 2026 has been won. That sole success came in the Quimper Challenger Tour event against a player ranked outside the top 700.
The 33-year-old then lost to Thomas Faurel who wasn't in the top 450 and is down to 137th in the live rankings. He looks to be a long way from the form that saw him reach the quarter-finals here last year.
We tip Nardi to win.
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Nikoloz Basilashvili v Luca Nardi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.23 | 1.66 |
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2.26 | 1.64 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.2 | 1.61 |
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2.2 | 1.61 |
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Who will win the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi match is: Luca Nardi wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi game on 04/02/2026 of the current ATP Montpellier season:
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 49.72% chance to win against Luca Nardi according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.3.
- Luca Nardi has a 50.28% probability of winning facing Nikoloz Basilashvili ⭐ with odds of 1.66 at Melbet.
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 49.72 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 49.72 % |
| Luca Nardi | 50.28 % |
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi Form
Nikoloz Basilashvili and Luca Nardi Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
2 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
15 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
13 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
12 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
10 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
13 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
22 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Nikoloz Basilashvili - Luca Nardi Key Points
- Basilashvili is 31 places below his opponent in the live rankings.
- Basilashvili's only win this year came against a player ranked outside the top 700.
- Last week saw Basilashvili lose to a player who wasn't in the top 450 in the rankings.
- Nardi reached a Challenger Tour final last weekend.
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Our Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi Prediction
Nikoloz Basiilashvili was a quarter-finalist in this tournament last year. He will be hoping a return to Montpellier may spark an improvement in form. He's lost three of his four matches this year (all in straight sets) and lost to a player not even in the top 450 last week.
Luca Nardi also made a disappointing start to 2026 but was in better form last week and was the runner-up in a Challenger Tour event. He will want to continue that good form in France. Our Nikoloz Basilashvili v Luca Nardi prediction is Luca Nardi wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
