Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Bad Homburg Open
WTA - WTA Bad Homburg Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens are set to meet in the second round at Bad Homburg. The two players have had their fair share of struggles on grass ahead of this eighth career meeting. Osaka has the H2H advantage and also won their only previous matchup on grass, earning her favor in our prediction.
Osaka is coming off a good run on clay, which is something positive in an injury-marred campaign. She made her grass debut with a straight-sets victory against Magdalena Frech, a good start to only her seventh tour event in 2025.
A former world number one, Osaka has only lost once in the second round this season. Her debut here last year ended in this same round, and she is poised to post an improvement.
Mertens trails Osaka 4-3 in head-to-head matchups. However, as she heads to the second round for the first time here, that will be a reason to stay positive.
Unlike Osaka, the Belgian made her grass court debut for the season earlier, in Hertogenbosch. She couldn’t win twice there as well as in Berlin, and now she will be hoping for a change.
Though Mertens is on an impressive 20-12 record this year, the odds are stacked against her here. She has lost six of her last nine meetings with players ranking in the top 20 this season. That is made tougher by Osaka’s 13 wins in 15 matches against players outside the top 10.
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Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 2 |
|
|
1.03 | 12.9 |
|
|
1.78 | 2.03 |
|
|
1.78 | 2.03 |
|
|
1 | 101 |
|
Who will win the Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens match is: exact score: 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens game on 23/06/2026 of the current WTA Bad Homburg Open season:
- Naomi Osaka has a 53.01% chance to win against Elise Mertens according to Roobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.97.
- Elise Mertens has a 46.99% probability of winning facing Naomi Osaka ⭐ with odds of 101 at 22bet.
Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Naomi Osaka has a 53.01 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | 53.01 % |
| Elise Mertens | 46.99 % |
Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Form
Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
1 Jun 2026 - WTA French Open
30 May 2026 - WTA French Open
28 May 2026 - WTA French Open
26 May 2026 - WTA French Open
11 May 2026 - WTA Rome
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
17 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
15 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
11 Jun 2026 - WTA Libema Open
8 Jun 2026 - WTA Libema Open
28 May 2026 - WTA French Open
Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
8 Aug 2024 - WTA National Bank Open
11 Jun 2024 - WTA Libema Open
Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens Key Points
- Osaka has a 4-3 head-to-head advantage over Mertens.
- Osaka won the only grass-court meeting with Mertens.
- Mertens has lost three of her last six matches on grass.
- Mertens won at least one set in six of her last 10 encounters.
- Osaka dropped at least a set in six of her last 10 grass-court matches.
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Our Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Prediction
Naomi Osaka is targeting her first quarter-final of the season, and her H2H advantage over Mertens in this fixture could count for something. The Japanese star also won their only previous meeting on grass, and Mertens’ poor record against top players might favor her.
The Belgian has a 3-6 run against top-20-ranked players this season. While she has the fight in her, Mertens will find this tough, as Osaka is 13-2 against opponents outside the top 10. Our prediction for Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens is for the exact score: 2-1.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
