France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco and Lyon will face off this Saturday in one of the most important matchday 33 clashes in Ligue 1. The two French giants start the weekend four places and as many points apart. Monaco are third with 58 points, while Lyon are seventh with 54. Going into the penultimate round, there’s a lot for both teams to play for, and below is our prediction.
The last time Monaco completed a Ligue 1 double against Lyon was in 2013/2014. Les Monegasques have another chance on Saturday, having beaten Lyon 2-0 in the first meeting this season.
In August, Lyon saw their three-match winning run against Monaco brought to a stop. Now they are faced with a case where they are battling for a place in Europe, and they have to win this. The last time they visited Monaco, Les Gones left with a win. Can they repeat the feat? Read on for our preview.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v Lyon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 4.2 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.83 | 4.2 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.8 | 4.2 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.8 | 4.1 | 3.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Lyon match is: Monaco wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2025 between Monaco and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.92% for a win of Monaco against Lyon with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Lyon is 12.87% with odds of 4.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Monaco with odds of 3.95 at Stake.
Monaco vs Lyon Form
Monaco and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
58 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 24 |
|
7
|
54 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 19 |
Monaco and Lyon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
Monaco vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
19 May 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Sep 2022 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
Monaco - Lyon: Form Analysis
Monaco are fighting for one of the two available automatic Champions League places. At the moment, they occupy one of those slots, but just with a one-point advantage.
It is a tight race for the same, with only a point separating them from the sixth-placed Strasbourg. A win here will, at least, eliminate Lyon from contention for that prestigious slot.
They geared up for this key game with a 3-1 away win over Saint-Etienne, taking their unbeaten streak to four matches. Two of those outings ended in draws, but the other win was a crucial one, against second-placed Marseille.
Monaco have 11 wins and only two losses at home in Ligue 1 this season.
Six teams are involved in the battle for two automatic Champions League slots. Lyon are the lowest ranked among the six, and only a win here will keep them in contention. The recent weeks haven't been very friendly for the visitors.
They slumped to a 2-1 loss at home to Lens in the last game, making it three defeats in four from all competitions. It might also hurt Lyon that their defence hasn’t been up to scratch.
Paulo Fonseca’s side has managed just one clean sheet in 10 league matches, conceding more than once in half of those. While they’ve struggled in defence, Lyon have done well in attack, scoring in each of the last 14 league games.
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Monaco vs Lyon last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
T. Kehrer
MidfielderA. Golovin
L. Camara
E. Nuamah
ForwardA. Lacazette
E. Honore Molebe
Monaco & Lyon Squad Analysis
The news all Monaco fans will be holding their breath for will be that Mika Biereth recovers in time for this game. The striker lasted just 15 minutes of their last game, having had an impactful run following his January arrival.
The Dane has scored 13 times in Ligue 1, and he has only featured in 15 matches. All his goals came inside seven matches, and he also has two assists, making him an important member of this team.
Monaco will, however, miss the services of Aleksandr Golovin, who is nursing a groin injury, while Christian Mawissa is suspended.
Monaco’s Biereth has scored three Ligue 1 hat tricks since his January arrival.
Alexandre Lacazette will be back from suspension to boost Lyon’s charge in this game. The former Arsenal forward has seven career goals against Monaco and will be confident coming here.
A well-rested Lacazette will target adding to his 13 Ligue 1 goals and two assists at the moment. The Frenchman is on his third season since returning from England, and he has 59 league goals in that period.
As Lyon welcome back their talisman, they will be without Ernest Nuamah in defence. The Ghanaian has a cruciate ligament injury and is out for the season.
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Lyon
M. Biereth
(13 Goals)
A. Lacazette
(17 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(11 Assists)
R. Cherki
(17 Assists)
Monaco and Lyon Stats in Ligue 1
Monaco - Lyon Key Points
- Monaco are unbeaten in their last four fixtures ahead of this.
- Monaco won twice in their last three home matches against Lyon.
- Monaco are unbeaten in seven league games at home, winning six.
- Lyon suffered defeat five times in their last nine away league games.
- Lyon lost six times in 11 matches against teams currently in the top-six.
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Our Monaco vs Lyon Prediction
While this is an important match for these two sides, Lyon will be under more pressure. A loss here would officially end their chances at automatic Champions League qualification. Adding to their pressure is the fact that they’ve suffered six defeats in 11 matches against teams currently in the top-six.
One of those losses was against Monaco, who come into this match with the better run. The hosts haven't lost a home league game in the last seven outings, winning six. Our prediction for Monaco v Lyon, therefore, is: Monaco wins the match.
Monaco vs Lyon - Other Interesting Predictions
Alexandre Lacazette to score
Though Lyon come into this game as the underdogs, we can’t fail to acknowledge the fact that they are good in attack. This aspect will be strengthened by Alexandre Lacazette’s return from suspension.
A well-rested Lacazette can be a nightmare for Monaco’s defenders. The striker has seven goals against Monaco, and we will, in our second prediction, back him to score.
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Monaco vs Lyon match : Frequently asked questions
The Monaco v Lyon match will be played on Saturday, 10th May.
The weatherman predicts highs of 16 degrees with 73% humidity, low chances of precipitation, and light winds at the time of the game.
Benoit Bastien will be the referee for Monaco v Lyon. Hicham Zakrani and Aurelien Berthomieu will serve as assistants, and Abdelatif Kherradji will be the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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