Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Montpellier

ATP - ATP Montpellier

ATP 116 USA
Martin Damm Jr
06/02/2026 11:20
ATP 163 Italy
Luca Nardi

Prediction :

 

Martin Damm Jr wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

The qualifier Martin Damm will face world number 106 Luc Nardi in the quarter-finals in Montpellier. The winner of their first career meeting will play Adrian Mannarino or Arthur Gea for a place in the final. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Damm is contesting a tour quarter-final for the first time. An indoor specialist, the American has been in excellent form in Montpellier, where he is on a four-match winning streak. 

Damm has dropped just one set this week. Up 18 places in the live ranking to 142nd, Damm has won against Hubert Hurkacz and Roberto Bautista Agut in the main draw. He defeated Bautista Agut, a former Montpellier finalist, by the loss of four games in the last round.

Luca Nardi is having his best run in Montpellier. In his two previous appearances here, the Italian exited the tournament without a main draw victory. 

Nardi, who is yet to drop a set this week, defeated compatriot and second seed Flavio Cobolli in the second round. He won with five games dropped to claim his sixth victory in 10 outings this season. 

Nardi, who hadn’t won in the tour this season before this week, has shot up nine places to 97th in the live ranking.

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Martin Damm Jr v Luca Nardi Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.76 2.06
Betwinner
1.78 2.03
Bet365
1.8 2
Roobet
1.73 2.02
BC Game
1.73 2.02
Check all Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi odds

Who will win the Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi match is: Martin Damm wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi game on 06/02/2026 of the current ATP Montpellier season:

  • Martin Damm Jr has a 54.32% chance to win against Luca Nardi according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.8.
  • Luca Nardi has a 45.68% probability of winning facing Martin Damm Jr ⭐ with odds of 2.06 at Melbet.

Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Martin Damm Jr has a 54.32 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Martin Damm Jr54.32 %
Luca Nardi45.68 %

Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi Form

Martin Damm Jr and Luca Nardi Last Matches

Martin Damm Jr Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Martin Damm Jr
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

3 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Martin Damm Jr

2 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Clement Tabur
1 :  2
Martin Damm Jr

1 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Matteo Martineau
0 :  2
Martin Damm Jr

19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Martin Damm Jr
0 :  3
Valentin Vacherot

14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
0 :  2
Martin Damm Jr
Luca Nardi Last matches
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

5 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Luca Nardi
2 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Nikoloz Basilashvili
0 :  2
Luca Nardi

19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Luca Nardi
1 :  3
Yibing Wu

10 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Luca Nardi
1 :  2
Aleksandar Vukic

13 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Fabian Marozsan
2 :  0
Luca Nardi

3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Martin Damm Jr - Luca Nardi Key Points

  1. Damm is on a four-match winning streak.
  2. Nardi has suffered four losses this season.
  3. Damm has won 20 of his last 26 indoor hard-court matchups.
  4. Nardi has suffered 43 losses on indoor hard courts in his career.
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Our Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi Prediction

Our prediction for Martin Damm v Luca Nardi is that Martin Damm wins. Damm is on a roll in Montpellier and has won four consecutive matches. With eight wins so far in 2026, he has built up enough momentum that we feel should propel him past Nardi.

The American is a strong indoor performer and, since the start of last season, has lost just six times on such surfaces. Nardi is a decent indoor performer, but he has more often than not blown hot and cold whenever out on such surfaces. 

Prediction :

 

Martin Damm Jr wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi Prediction