Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA National Bank Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Tenth seed Marta Kostyuk and seventh seed Iga Swiatek will meet in the fourth round of the 2026 Canadian Open. This is their second meeting of the season and fifth overall. Swiatek has won three of the previous four meetings, and this prediction backs her.
Kostyuk defeated Swiatek back in May during a spectacular clay season. She won in straight sets at the French Open, ending Swiatek’s quest for another title in Paris.
As she has had a strong week and is one of the best performers this year, the Ukrainian will be confident of another victory. Kostyuk has won 30 of 36 matches this term, and this has led to two titles and an exponential rise in the world rankings.
Currently the 11th-best-ranked player in the WTA, Kostyuk defeated 19th seed Madison Keys in straight sets in the last round.
Iga Swiatek had won three straight meetings with Kostyuk before their meeting at Roland Garros. Twice she had won on a hard surface, and in one of those instances, she went on to win the title.
The former world number one, after having a strong week so far, will arrive confident of returning to winning ways. Swiatek, who is seeking her first title of the season, defeated Viktorija Golubic in straight sets in the previous round.
Though having compiled a strong 25-12 record, she is having a poor season by her standards. This has affected her world ranking, leading to her dropping to eighth in the WTA.
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Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.24 | 1.69 |
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2.23 | 1.69 |
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2.18 | 1.68 |
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2.18 | 1.68 |
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2.18 | 1.68 |
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Who will win the Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek match is: exact score: 1-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek game on 08/08/2026 of the current WTA National Bank Open season:
- Marta Kostyuk has a 46.58% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.27.
- Iga Swiatek has a 53.42% probability of winning facing Marta Kostyuk ⭐ with odds of 1.69 at Stake.
Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marta Kostyuk has a 46.58 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | 46.58 % |
| Iga Swiatek | 53.42 % |
Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Form
Marta Kostyuk and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
9 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
8 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
6 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
4 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
4 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
2 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
24 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
31 May 2026 - WTA French Open
16 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
15 Mar 2024 - WTA Indian Wells
Marta Kostyuk - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Swiatek has won three of her previous four meetings with Kostyuk.
- Kostyuk failed to win at least one set on just five occasions this term.
- Two of Swiatek’s three wins against Kostyuk were registered on hard courts.
- Swiatek has won 14 of her 20 matches on hard courts this year.
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Our Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Our prediction for Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek is for the exact score: 1-2. Kostyuk won her most recent meeting with Swiatek two months ago. She will look towards that performance for inspiration going into this next showdown, which we expect to be a tussle.
Swiatek, though, with a strong head-to-head advantage in this fixture, is our best bet to come out on top. Aside from this advantage, Swiatek is also a strong player on hard courts, which she has continued to show this season.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.