Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

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France - Ligue 1

Marseille
19/01/2025 14:45
Strasbourg

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo in Ligue 1 Predictions

After being dumped out of the French Cup, Marseille gears up for a Ligue 1 clash against Strasbourg at Orange Velodrome on matchday 18. Marseille are second and have maintained a 13-point cushion over ninth-placed Strasbourg in the league standings. Here's our match prediction. 

Marseille has accumulated 36 points from 17 games in Ligue 1 this season and is seven points behind the top-ranked PSG.

The Phocéens suffered a rare defeat in the French Cup as they lost 4-3 on penalties against Lille after playing out a 1-1 draw in regulation time.

Despite that setback, Roberto De Zerbi's men enter this encounter high on confidence. A 2-1 league win against Rennes stretched their unbeaten run to six games (W5, D1) with 15 goals scored during this run. 

Strasbourg has kicked off the new year in emphatic fashion. This is a team that has won three consecutive matches in all competitions including their nervous win against fifth-tier ES Thaon in the French Cup round of 32.

Racing has not suffered a league defeat since a 3-1 away loss against Brest on the last day of November 2024. 

Since then the team has avoided defeat in four matches and a recent 2-1 away win against Toulouse marked their third consecutive win. However, away from home, they've been struggling, recording just two wins in their last nine outings (D2, L5).
 

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Marseille vs Strasbourg Form

Marseille and Strasbourg's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Marseille
65 34 20 5 9 +27
7 Strasbourg
57 34 16 9 9 +12

Marseille and Strasbourg Last Matches

Marseille
Marseille Last matches
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - French Cup

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille

11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  2
Marseille

5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  1
Le Havre

22 Dec 2024 - French Cup

Saint Etienne
0 :  4
Marseille

14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille

8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
0 :  2
Marseille
L L W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - French Cup

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille

5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  1
Le Havre

14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille

1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  1
Monaco

8 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  3
Auxerre

27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  2
Marseille

22 Dec 2024 - French Cup

Saint Etienne
0 :  4
Marseille

8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
0 :  2
Marseille

23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  3
Marseille

3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Marseille

20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc
0 :  5
Marseille
Strasbourg
Strasbourg Last matches
D W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Jan 2025 - French Cup

ES Thaon Football
2 :  2
Strasbourg

12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Strasbourg

5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  1
Auxerre

21 Dec 2024 - French Cup

RC Calais
0 :  3
Strasbourg

15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  3
Strasbourg

8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  0
Reims
W D W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  1
Auxerre

8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  0
Reims

9 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  3
Monaco

27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  1
Nantes

6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  2
Lens

29 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  0
Marseille
L L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Jan 2025 - French Cup

ES Thaon Football
2 :  2
Strasbourg

12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Strasbourg

21 Dec 2024 - French Cup

RC Calais
0 :  3
Strasbourg

15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  3
Strasbourg

30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  1
Strasbourg

24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  1
Strasbourg

Marseille vs Strasbourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

17 %

Draw

67 %

Strasbourg

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

29 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  0
Marseille

12 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Strasbourg

25 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  1
Marseille

12 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Strasbourg

29 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  2
Marseille

21 May 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Strasbourg
Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction

Marseille against Strasbourg Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
G. Rulli
5
L. Brassier
5
L. Balerdi
13
D. Cornelius
44
Luis Henrique
26
B. Nadir
23
P. Hojbjerg
6
U. Garcia
10
M. Greenwood
25
A. Rabiot
8
N. Maupay
10
E. Emegha
6
F. Lemarechal
15
S. Nanasi
8
A. Santos
19
H. Diarra
26
D. Bakwa
42
A. Ouattara
29
I. Doukoure
23
M. Sarr
22
G. Doue
1
D. Petrovic

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Strasbourg

Substitutes

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

J. De Lange

Defender

Q. Merlin

U. Garcia 61'

B. Meite

P. Lirola

D. Cornelius 46'

L. Felipe

Midfielder

I. Kone

D. Bakola

Forward

R. Vaz

N. Maupay 46'

J. Rowe

B. Nadir 61'

Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Goalkeeper

K. Johnsson

Defender

M. Senaya

S. Nanasi 76'

A. Sylla

E. Sobol

Midfielder

P. Diong

S. El Mourabet

Forward

J. Sebas

D. Bakwa 75'

R. Messi Tanfouri

S. Mara

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Forward

F. Moumbagna

Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Strasbourg
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (21 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands E. Emegha (14 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Luis Henrique (6 Assists)
Best assists
France D. Bakwa (8 Assists)

Marseille - Strasbourg Key Points

  1. Marseille have seen over 2.5 goals scored in eight of their last ten matches in Ligue 1.
  2. Strasbourg have seen 36 goals scored in their last nine away league games.
  3. Marseille and Strasbourg have seen three of their last six league meetings end with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Strasbourg concedes 2.22 goals per game when playing away.
  5. Marseille have scored nine goals in their last four home league games.
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Our Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction

Meetings between Marseille and Strasbourg have turned out to be tight affairs with four of their last five matches ending in stalemates. However, with Marseille at home, there's no doubt they are favorites to claw their way to a hard-fought win and seek payback for their 1-0 defeat in the previous fixture. 

Considering that this matchup pits both sides that have been prolific in attack this season, it's safe to say that neither side will focus too much on the defensive front here. We expect a high-octane affair filled with many goals. Our Marseille v Strasbourg prediction is: Over 2.5.
 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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