Luke Humphries vs Nathan Aspinall Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League Darts
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by Devesh Jaganath | in PDC - Premier League Darts Predictions
The 2025 Premier League Darts Playoffs will come to us live from the O2 Arena on Thursday night, with Luke Humphries taking on Nathan Aspinall in the second semi-final. Cool Hand Luke came second in the league phase with 34 points, while The Asp finished third with 26 points. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Luke Humphries enters the Playoffs as the second-favourite behind Luke Littler, who he lost to in the final last week in Sheffield 6-3.
That was Humpries’ eighth final appearance of the season (W3 L5), while across the competition, he has a record of 21 wins and 13 defeats in 34 matches.
Cool Hand Luke averaged 99.67 in the league phase and had a checkout percentage of 41.11%. He was also the only other player (aside from Littler) to throw 100+ 180s this season (101).
Meanwhile, Nathan Aspinall had a stunning second half of the season, during which he claimed both his Nightly wins in Manchester and Aberdeen before edging Michael van Gerwen for the final Playoff spot.
The Asp has recorded 93 180s and is averaging 95.70 this season. He has a checkout rate of 38.41%, which ranks fifth in the Premier League this year.
Humphries and Aspinall met four times in the Premier League this season, and Humphries won three. They have met 15 times since the start of 2024, and Humphries leads 10-5.
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Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall Key Points
- Luke Humphries has won three of the four Premier League matches against Aspinall this season.
- Luke Humphries has won 10 of the last 15 matches against Aspinall since the start of 2024.
- Two of Humphries' three wins against Aspinall this season were by two or more legs.
- Nathan Aspinall has the lowest average of the four semi-finalists (95.70).
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Our Luke Humphries vs Nathan Aspinall Prediction
Nathan Aspinall has arguably been the standout performer over the second half of the season, but has understandably been overshadowed by the record-breaking performances of Luke Littler.
However, you simply can’t write off Luke Humphries. The world number one is at his best when under pressure, as we saw in what was the best match of the competition to date against Littler on Night 15. We expect a solid showing from the Asp, but feel Cool Hand Luke will get the win. Our Luke Humphries vs Nathan Aspinall prediction is Luke Humphries -2.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
