ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters


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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
An Italian player will definitely be in the last 16 of the Shanghai Masters but it's not Jannik Sinner. We'll have either eighth-seed Lorenzo Musetti or unseeded Luciano Darderi who meet in round three. Time for our match prediction.
Lorenzo Musetti began his campaign in Shanghai with a straight sets victory over Francisco Comesana. He only lost four games in that match, all in the opening set. Musetti remains eighth in the live rankings and also the ATP Race.
The 23-year-old has a 17-10 hard court record in 2025. Recently he was the losing finalist in the ATP Tour hard court tournament played in Chengdu.
The winner of this match will play either 12th-seed Felix Auger-Aliassime or unseeded Jesper De Jong in the last 16.
Luciano Darderi beat Bu Yuncaokete in his opening match. The 23-year-old won 6-4 6-4 and that was only his sixth win in 16 hard court matches played this year. Far better on clay, Darderi is in round three of a hard court tournament for only the third time in 2025.
He's 1-1 in previous matches against his compatriot but this is their first hard court meeting. Darderi has won four clay court tournaments this year and is 23rd in the live rankings. On this surface, we tip Musetti to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luciano Darderi v Lorenzo Musetti Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4 | 1.25 |
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4 | 1.25 |
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4.25 | 1.22 |
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4 | 1.22 |
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4 | 1.25 |
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Who will win the Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Lorenzo Musetti to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 06/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Luciano Darderi has a 28.87% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 4.3.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 71.13% probability of winning facing Luciano Darderi ⭐ with odds of 1.26 at Melbet.
Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luciano Darderi has a 28.87 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
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Luciano Darderi | 28.87 % |
Lorenzo Musetti | 71.13 % |
Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Luciano Darderi and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
26 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open
24 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open
19 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
7 Sep 2025 - Challenger Genoa Open
6 Sep 2025 - Challenger Genoa Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
28 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
23 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
22 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
4 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
18 May 2024 - Turin, Italy
Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Only seven players have earned more ranking points this year than Musetti.
- Musetti recently reached the Chengdu hard court final.
- Darderi has only won six hard court matches this year.
- Musetti is 15 places ahead of Darderi in the live rankings.
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Our Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Lorenzo Musetti made an impressive start to his Shanghai Masters with only four games dopped against Francisco Comesana. That followed his run to the final in Chengdu and he'll be expecting to win this match.
Luciano Darderi had a rare hard court win in round two. That was only his sixth win on this surface in 2025. This is far tougher an assignment against his fellow countryman and our Luciano Darderi v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Lorenzo Musetti to win in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Luciano Darderi vs. Lorenzo Musetti game!
When you place a bet on the match between Luciano Darderi and Lorenzo Musetti you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Luciano Darderi or Lorenzo Musetti , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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