New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP 29 Italy
Luciano Darderi
06/10/2025 02:50
ATP 9 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Musetti to win in straight sets

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

An Italian player will definitely be in the last 16 of the Shanghai Masters but it's not Jannik Sinner. We'll have either eighth-seed Lorenzo Musetti or unseeded Luciano Darderi who meet in round three. Time for our match prediction.

Lorenzo Musetti began his campaign in Shanghai with a straight sets victory over Francisco Comesana. He only lost four games in that match, all in the opening set. Musetti remains eighth in the live rankings and also the ATP Race. 

The 23-year-old has a 17-10 hard court record in 2025. Recently he was the losing finalist in the ATP Tour hard court tournament played in Chengdu.

The winner of this match will play either 12th-seed Felix Auger-Aliassime or unseeded Jesper De Jong in the last 16.

Luciano Darderi beat Bu Yuncaokete in his opening match. The 23-year-old won 6-4 6-4 and that was only his sixth win in 16 hard court matches played this year. Far better on clay, Darderi is in round three of a hard court tournament for only the third time in 2025.

He's 1-1 in previous matches against his compatriot but this is their first hard court meeting. Darderi has won four clay court tournaments this year and is 23rd in the live rankings. On this surface, we tip Musetti to win in straight sets.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for Luciano Darderi v Lorenzo Musetti Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4 1.25
William Hill
4 1.25
Betway
4.25 1.22
Ladbrokes
4 1.22
Unibet
4 1.25
Check all Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti odds
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Who will win the Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Lorenzo Musetti to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 06/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:

  • Luciano Darderi has a 28.87% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 4.3.
  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 71.13% probability of winning facing Luciano Darderi ⭐ with odds of 1.26 at Melbet.

Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luciano Darderi has a 28.87 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Luciano Darderi28.87 %
Lorenzo Musetti71.13 %

Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Luciano Darderi and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches

Luciano Darderi Last matches
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Luciano Darderi
2 :  0
Yunchaokete Bu

26 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Jenson Brooksby
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

24 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Yoshihito Nishioka
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

19 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

7 Sep 2025 - Challenger Genoa Open

Luciano Darderi
2 :  0
Andrea Pellegrino

6 Sep 2025 - Challenger Genoa Open

Luciano Darderi
2 :  1
Tom Gentzsch
Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W L W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Francisco Comesana
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Learner Tien
abort
Lorenzo Musetti

28 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

23 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

22 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Alexander Shevchenko

Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Luciano Darderi

0 %

Lorenzo Musetti

100 %

4 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Luciano Darderi
2 :  3
Lorenzo Musetti

18 May 2024 - Turin, Italy

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi
Compare Luciano Darderi and Lorenzo Musetti with our comparison tool.

Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Only seven players have earned more ranking points this year than Musetti.
  2. Musetti recently reached the Chengdu hard court final.
  3. Darderi has only won six hard court matches this year.
  4. Musetti is 15 places ahead of Darderi in the live rankings.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti made an impressive start to his Shanghai Masters with only four games dopped against Francisco Comesana. That followed his run to the final in Chengdu and he'll be expecting to win this match.

Luciano Darderi had a rare hard court win in round two. That was only his sixth win on this surface in 2025. This is far tougher an assignment against his fellow countryman and our Luciano Darderi v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Lorenzo Musetti to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Musetti to win in straight sets

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Get a retirement guarantee for the Luciano Darderi vs. Lorenzo Musetti game!

bet365 2 goals ahead early payout

When you place a bet on the match between Luciano Darderi and Lorenzo Musetti you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Luciano Darderi or Lorenzo Musetti , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

Place your bets on ATP Shanghai Masters with Bet365!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Please Gamble Responsibly

logo footer