Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Montpellier
ATP - ATP Montpellier
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
We have an all-Italian match-up in round two of the Open Occitanie in Montpellier. Second seed Flavio Cobolli takes on unseeded Luca Nardi with the winner going into the last eight of this indoor hard court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
In the quarter-finals, the winner will face qualifier Martin Damm.
Luca Nardi hadn't won a main draw match in this tournament until this year. He ended a run of two defeats in Montpellier with a straight sets victory over Nikoloz Basilashvili. That continued his good form after reaching the final of last week's Challenger Tour event played in Manama.
He leads Cobolli 3-1 in previous meetings, winning the last three and their only match on this surface.
Flavio Cobolli received a bye into this second round. He is 20th in the live rankings, 80 places above Nardi. His form on indoor hard courts is inconsistent and in five of the past six years, he's lost more matches than he has won.
Cobolli has only played three matches this year and won just one of them against Stan Wawrinka in the United Cup. Those three matches saw five tie-breaks played and a side bet on one here could well win.
We tip Nardi to win this match.
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Luca Nardi v Flavio Cobolli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.13 | 1.72 |
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2.18 | 1.69 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.1 | 1.67 |
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2.1 | 1.67 |
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Who will win the Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli match is: Luca Nardi wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli game on 05/02/2026 of the current ATP Montpellier season:
- Luca Nardi has a 53.02% chance to win against Flavio Cobolli according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 2.18.
- Flavio Cobolli has a 46.98% probability of winning facing Luca Nardi ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at Bet365.
Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luca Nardi has a 53.02 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Luca Nardi | 53.02 % |
| Flavio Cobolli | 46.98 % |
Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Form
Luca Nardi and Flavio Cobolli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
10 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
13 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5 Jan 2026 - United Cup
4 Jan 2026 - United Cup
23 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
21 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
19 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
30 Nov 2023 - Next Gen ATP Finals
Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli Key Points
- Nardi has won his last three matches against Cobolli.
- Nardi won his only previous indoor hard court match against Cobolli.
- Cobolli has a 1-2 record this year.
- Cobolli has lost his last two matches in this tournament.
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Our Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction
Luca Nardi is ranked well below his opponent but looks good value to get through to the quarter-finals in Montpellier. Nardi was a runner-up in a Challenger Tour event last week and played well in his first round win here.
Flavio Cobolli has lost his last three matches against his Italian compatriot. He has made a shaky start to the new year with only one of his three matches being won. A tie-break is likely but our main Luca Nardi v Flavio Cobolli prediction is Luca Nardi wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
