Lille vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Le Havre will travel to in-form Lille for their next Ligue 1 match, looking to halt a lengthy winless run. This match holds high value for both teams, third placed Lille chasing Champions League football and Le Havre battling for survival. Predictions for the match favor Lille but let’s see why.
Lille had a small hiccup in their league run, drawing 0-0 with Nice but recovered in their last outing. Les Dogues beat Paris FC 1-0 to set up a fifth win in six Ligue 1 outings, which was also their 11th unbeaten league game.
In this run they posted seven wins. The hosts are fourth on 57 points, tied with third placed Lyon in a tight race for a straight slot in the UCL league phase.
Le Havre’s case is also tight at the lower end of the league standings. Le Club Doyen have three league matches to preserve their topflight status.
Their fate is well in their hands as they enter this round sitting six points above the drop zone. However, they are winless in the last nine league matches (losing four), which raises concerns on whether they can make the most of their advantage.
Worse, they haven’t won an away league match in 2026. Their latest win on the road was in October, and they’ve failed to score in six of 10.
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Lille v Le Havre Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 4.7 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.74 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 8 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.6 | 8.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Le Havre?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Le Havre match is: Lille to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Lille and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.58% for a win of Lille against Le Havre with odds of 1.45 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Le Havre is 29.1% with odds of 5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Lille with odds of 8.8 at Tonybet.
Lille - Le Havre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Le Havre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 56.58% | 1.45 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 68.77% | 2.03 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lille/Lille | 25.02% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Le Havre Form
Lille and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
14
|
35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
Lille and Le Havre Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
0 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
Lille against Le Havre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderAlexsandro
T. Santos
C. Mbemba
C. Verdonk
O. Sahraoui
E. Mbappe
G. Perrin
O. Giroud
L. Mpasi
DefenderT. Pembele
E. Youte Kinkoue
G. Kyeremeh
Y. Kechta
D. Mosengo
ForwardF. Mambimbi
E. Koffi Vinette
Y. Beau Djellel
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderN. Bentaleb
M. Broholm
ForwardH. Igamane
A. Sangante
S. Zagadou
MidfielderA. Toure
R. Ndiaye
ForwardN. Obougou
Most goals and assists
Lille
Le Havre
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(8 Goals)
I. Soumare
(8 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(5 Assists)
I. Soumare
(5 Assists)
Lille - Le Havre Key Points
- Lille are unbeaten in five matches, winning four.
- Lille haven’t conceded a goal in their last four games.
- Le Havre are winless in 10 away league matches, losing six.
- Le Havre lost seven times in their last eight meetings with Lille.
- In their last 11 league matches, Lille are unbeaten, winning seven.
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Our Lille vs Le Havre Prediction
This isn’t a match that has favored Le Havre over time. They have just one win in their last eight meetings with Lille and Le Club Doyen failed to score in their last five defeats to Lille. The visitors’ recent run of form has not been inspiring either.
They come here winless in their latest nine matches though they avoided defeat in the most recent four. On the other hand, Lille, who are chasing an automatic Champions League slot, have been on the rise and come here as clear favorites. Our prediction for Lille v Le Havre is for Lille to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Le Havre
| Lille vs Le Havre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.48 | 1.45 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 4.68 | 5 | +6.8% |
| Le Havre wins | 7.8 | 8.8 | +12.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 69.0% (1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
