Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Leipzig will hope for a winning start under new manager Martin Demichelis when they kickstart their 2026-27 Bundesliga campaign against Monchengladbach at Red Bull Arena. This match on Saturday between the ‘Red Bulls’ and the ‘Foals’ could be a test of the two defences, so our match prediction is for under 3.5 goals to be scored.
Last season saw Leipzig finish 3rd with 65 points (W20, D5, L9) and three points above fourth. Monchengladbach were 12th with 38 points (W9, D11, L14) and only nine points above the relegation zone.
The hosts brought in a new manager this summer and started with a 6-0 away win over Eintracht Trier in the DFB Pokal first-round game. That saw them bounce back from defeats to Bayern Munich and Leeds in their last two friendlies.
This venue seems to bring the best out of Leipzig, as they are unbeaten in their last seven Bundesliga matches here (W5, D2),winning the last five.
Monchengladbach also started with a win in the German Cup, defeating Schott Mainz 5-0 away from home. That keeps them unbeaten this season, including six friendlies. The Foals hadn’t finished last season on a high, though, winning only two of their last eight league games (D4, L2). That gets worse on the road, as they are winless in their last 11 away league trips (D4, L7).
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Leipzig v Mönchengladbach Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.58 | 4.70 | 5.40 |
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1.59 | 4.62 | 5.39 |
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1.54 | 4.54 | 5.40 |
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1.55 | 4.50 | 5.35 |
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1.56 | 4.52 | 5.25 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Mönchengladbach?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach match is: under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2026 between Leipzig and Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.02% for a win of Leipzig against Mönchengladbach with odds of 1.61 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach is 8.17% with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Mönchengladbach vs Leipzig with odds of 5.59 at 888Starz.
Leipzig - Mönchengladbach Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Mönchengladbach Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 48.02% | 1.61 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.61% | 1.47 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leipzig/Leipzig | 20.67% | 2.37 at Shangrila |
Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Form
Leipzig and Mönchengladbach's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 |
|
18
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 |
Leipzig and Mönchengladbach Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 May 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Mönchengladbach Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Zingerle
DefenderM. Esteve
M. Finkgrafe
B. Henrichs
A. Vermeeren
A. Maksimovic
ForwardJ. Bakayoko
C. Harder
C. Nkunku
D. Batz
DefenderJ. Scally
D. Herold
J. Leszczynski
MidfielderM. Nguefack
E. Leopold
F. Honorat
S. Machino
I. Lidberg
Missing players
O. Nyland
MidfielderC. Baumgartner
A. Ouedraogo
V. Gebel
ForwardRomulo
Y. Konoplya
J. Castrop
F. Chiarodia
MidfielderZ. Uno
ForwardT. Cvancara
Most goals and assists
Leipzig - Mönchengladbach Key Points
- Three of Leipzig’s last six matches saw under 3.5 goals.
- Three of Leipzig’s last five home league games saw fewer than four goals scored.
- Four of Gladbach’s last six league games have seen three or fewer goals scored.
- Six of Gladbach’s last nine away Bundesliga matches have featured fewer than four goals.
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Our Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction
Leipzig have a strong home record against Gladbach, having never lost ten such games (W6, D4). With a new manager in the dugout, Leipzig will have to live up to their record of five consecutive home league wins, although three of those were by a single-goal margin. Gladbach struggled on the road last season, failing to win their last 11 Bundesliga away games.
The last eight Bundesliga matches between Leipzig and Monchengladbach have finished with fewer than four goals. That’s why our Leipzig vs Monchengladbach prediction is under 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Mönchengladbach
| Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.53 | 1.61 | +5.2% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.80 | +11.6% |
| Mönchengladbach wins | 6.35 | 5.59 | -12.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 62.1% (-3.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.