Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Hangzhou Open

ATP - ATP Hangzhou Open

ATP 68 Portugal
Jaime Faria
25/09/2026 07:30
ATP 97 France
Hugo Gaston

Prediction :

 

Jaime Faria wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

After a tough first round match in the Hangzhou Open, seventh seed Jaime Faria takes on unseeded Hugo Gaston. The winner goes into the quarter-finals of this outdoor hard court tournament. This is the first time Gaston has reached round two of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament this year, and our prediction is a win for Faria.

In the quarter-finals, the winner here will be up against either second seed Andrey Rublev or unseeded Rinky Hijikata.

Jaime Faria had to come from a set down and endure a second set tie-break to defeat Terence Atmane in round one. While most of his success this year has come on clay, Faria has won 12 of his 18 outdoor hard court matches with his best performance being reaching round four in Cincinnati.

That is the only time this year he's got past round two of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament.

That's better than his opponent Hugo Gaston has managed in 2026.

The world number 97 (29 places below his opponent) has an 8-7 record on this surface this year. His best results in 2026 have come on the Challenger Tour and on clay.

Round one here saw him beat Sho Shimabukuro in straight sets, his first ATP Tour main draw victory on this surface since July 2025.

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Jaime Faria v Hugo Gaston Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.49 2.5
1xbet
1.5 2.59
Melbet
1.5 2.59
Betwinner
1.5 2.59
Bet365
1.53 2.5
Check all Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston odds

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Who will win the Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston match is: Jaime Faria wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston game on 25/09/2026 of the current ATP Hangzhou Open season:

  • Jaime Faria has a 59.26% chance to win against Hugo Gaston according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.53.
  • Hugo Gaston has a 38.12% probability of winning facing Jaime Faria ⭐ with odds of 2.75 at Betway.

Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jaime Faria has a 59.26 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jaime Faria59.26 %
Hugo Gaston38.12 %

Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Form

Jaime Faria and Hugo Gaston Last Matches

Jaime Faria Last matches
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

24 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Jaime Faria
2 :  1
Terence Atmane

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Jaime Faria
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Jaime Faria
3 :  2
Jenson Brooksby

19 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jaime Faria
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

18 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jaime Faria
2 :  1
Adam Walton

16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Ben Shelton
0 :  2
Jaime Faria
Hugo Gaston Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

24 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Sho Shimabukuro
0 :  2
Hugo Gaston

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Daniil Medvedev
3 :  0
Hugo Gaston

28 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Hugo Gaston
2 :  1
Colton Smith

26 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Hugo Gaston
2 :  0
Andre Ilagan

25 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Hugo Gaston
2 :  0
Guido Ivan Justo

11 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Hugo Gaston
1 :  2
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Prediction

Jaime Faria - Hugo Gaston Key Points

  1. In the latest rankings, Faria is 29 places above his opponent.
  2. Before his first round win, Gaston hadn't had a main draw victory in an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament in 14 months.
  3. Faria is 54 places above his opponent in the ATP Live Race.
  4. Faria has won 12 of his 18 outdoor hard court matches this year.
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Our Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Prediction

It was a struggle for Jaime Faria in round one, but he showed battling spirit to make it past his opponent. He's two wins away from 50 this year, though most have come on clay. He is a very capable player on this surface though and will make life difficult for his opponent.

Hugo Gaston has struggled on outdoor hard courts this year. He's had success on other surfaces with one ATP Tour clay court semi-final, but wins on this surface have mainly come in qualifiers. Our Jaime Faria v Hugo Gaston prediction is Jaime Faria wins.

Prediction :

 

Jaime Faria wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.