Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

Prediction published on 12/10/2026, 14:35  by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 12/10/2026 at 15:37 in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

We have a rematch of the recent Chengdu Open final here. 25th seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won that title decider and he takes on unseeded Hubert Hurkacz in the fourth round of the outdoor hard court Shanghai Masters. A long match looks likely and our prediction is more than 22.5 games.

In the last eight, the winner will be up against either unseeded Arthur Gea or 13th seed Jakub Mensik.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 13 of his 20 outdoor hard court matches this year. He also won the grass court Mallorca title in 2026.

Fokina has so far beaten two American opponents to reach this round. Jenson Brooksby was beaten in straight sets. He then needed three to get past seventh seed Frances Tiafoe. Two of the three sets went to a tie-break. He's played more than 22.5 games in four of his last five matches.

He has won his last three matches against Hurkacz. The last four over this length of match have seen more than 22.5 games played.

Hubert Hurkacz has already beaten Novak Djokovic in this tournament. 

He then needed three sets to get past Yi Zhou, losing the middle set.

More than 22.5 games have been played in seven of his last ten completed matches.