Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Japan Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Holger Rune takes on Kyrian Jacquet in the first round of the outdoor hard court Japan Open. Rune is in this tournament on a protected ranking, while Jacquet received a special exemption after his good tournament last week. Looking at the statistics, a bet on more than 0.5 tie-breaks here could well be successful.
Round two of this ATP 500 tournament will see the winner face either sixth seed Casper Ruud or unseeded Luciano Darderi.
This is only the third match that Holger Rune has played in 2026. Rune suffered an achilles tendon injury in the Stockholm Open last October. He didn't play until last week when winning a couple of matches in the Davis Cup. That included a three-set win over Grigor Dimitrov and that saw a tie-break played in the deciding set.
He's now 188th in the rankings. Three of his last four matches on this surface have seen a tie-break played.
Kyrian Jacquet made it to the semi-finals in Hangzhou this month, losing to Andrey Rublev. He beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry in that tournament.
Jacquet has won an outdoor hard court Challenger Tour event this year, but that was the first time he'd got past the first round of an ATP Tour event on this surface,
Three of his last four matches have seen a tie-break played.
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Holger Rune v Kyrian Jacquet Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 2.42 |
|
|
1.58 | 2.48 |
|
|
1.56 | 2.44 |
|
|
1.56 | 2.44 |
|
|
1.56 | 2.44 |
|
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Who will win the Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet game on 29/09/2026 of the current ATP Japan Open season:
- Holger Rune has a 58.43% chance to win against Kyrian Jacquet according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.58.
- Kyrian Jacquet has a 41.57% probability of winning facing Holger Rune ⭐ with odds of 2.5 at Shangrila.
Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Holger Rune has a 58.43 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Holger Rune | 58.43 % |
| Kyrian Jacquet | 41.57 % |
Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet Form
Holger Rune and Kyrian Jacquet Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
9 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
7 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
25 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
23 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
26 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
24 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
Holger Rune - Kyrian Jacquet Key Points
- Three of the last four matches Rune has played on this surface have seen a tie-break played.
- Of the four matches Jacquet played in his last tournament, three saw a tie-break played.
- Four of the last six completed matches for Rune on all surfaces have seen a tie-break played.
- Rune played here two years ago and had one match that ended 7-6 7-6.
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Our Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet Prediction
It's been a tough year on the sidelines for Holger Rune. The former top ten ranked player was injured in Stockholm 11 months ago and only made his on-court return last week in the Davis Cup. He won two matches and one included a tie-break.
Kyrian Jacquet is a career-high 86th (102 above Rune) after reaching the last four in Hangzhou. That earned him a special exemption to play in Tokyo this week. Three of his last four matches have included a tie-break. Our Holger Rune v Kyrian Jacquet prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Holger Rune vs. Kyrian Jacquet game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Holger Rune or Kyrian Jacquet, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
