ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
Two seeds meet in round three of the Cincinnati Open. 10th seed Frances Tiafoe faces Ugo Humbert who is seeded 20th in this outdoor hard court Masters tournament. Read our match prediction below.
Next up for the winner of this clash is a match in the last 16 against either 28th seed Alex Michelsen or seventh-seeded Holger Rune.
There's not a great deal between these two players on first look. Both are aged 27 with 11 hard court wins this year. Tiafoe was the runner-up here last year and began this tournament with a straight sets win over Roberto Carballes Baena.
The last month has seen the American get to the quarter-finals in Washington and last 16 in Toronto. In both tournaments it took a top ten player to beat him. Tiafoe leads Humbert 2-1 in previous meetings and they're 1-1 on hard courts. Tiafoe's win came in this tournament four years ago.
Hunbert has a habit of getting good results in the early part of the year and won the Marseille title in February. Maintaining that level has been difficult for Humbert. The Frenchman had lost his last two matches and three of the last four on this surface before beating the qualifier Coleman Wong in round two.
We tip Tiafoe to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Frances Tiafoe v Ugo Humbert Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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1.62 | 2.3 |
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1.65 | 2.25 |
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1.65 | 2.15 |
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert match is: Frances Tiafoe to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert game on 11/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 53.82% chance to win against Ugo Humbert according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.7.
- Ugo Humbert has a 46.18% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at William Hill.
Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 53.82 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 53.82 % |
| Ugo Humbert | 46.18 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert Form
Frances Tiafoe and Ugo Humbert Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
27 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
26 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
25 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
17 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
Frances Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert Key Points
- Tiafoe won the last hard court meeting between these two players and leads Humbert 2-1 overall.
- Tiafoe has reached a quarter-final and a last 16 in his two previous hard court tournaments.
- Tiafoe's last two losses on this surface have both been to top ten ranked players.
- Humbert has lost three of his last five hard court matches.
- Tiafoe is 17th in the live rankings, five ahead of Humbert.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert Prediction
Frances Tiafoe is enjoying a consistent run in recent weeks and is the worthy favorite to progress to the last sixteen. He's managed to get to that stage in his last two hard court tournaments in Washington and Toronto with one quarter-final appearance.
Ugo Humbert made a bright start to the year just as he did in 2024. It's been a struggle to maintain that consistency, especially on hard courts. His other other fourth round on this surface this year was in the Australian Open. Our Frances Tiafoe v Ugo Humbert prediction is Frances Tiafoe to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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