Italy Serie A Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Serie A prediction on who will win the title and come out on top in the main matches played in the 2025-26 Italian Football Championship. Full of information for your sports betting!

Serie A presentation and predictions - Italy

The Italian league, known as Serie A, is considered one of the top 5 leagues in the world alongside the English Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1 and the German Bundesliga. That's one of the reasons why Serie A predictions are so popular in the UK and around Europe. Throughout the exciting season, players have the opportunity to bet on the matches of Italy's top 20 clubs. 

From the opening match, scheduled for 23 August 2025, to matchday 38 (set to be played on 24 May 2026), our experts' Serie A predictions are available free of charge to help you place your bets with the bookmakers. Below you will find our general predictions, as well as statistics and tips, on how to make the most of the upcoming Serie A season.

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Winner prediction: who will win Italian Serie A?

Last year, the battle for the title was intense right up to the final day of Serie A. And for the 2025-2026 season, we hope to see plenty more excitement throughout the year, with plenty at stake at every level.

From the legendary San Siro (also known as the Giuseppe Meazza) to the Juventus Stadium, the Stadio Olimpico and the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Italy's finest clubs will be battling it out for the title of Italian champion, but also for the European places, in particular the Champions League, the Europa League and the Conference League, not to mention the fight to stay in the top flight!

And when it comes to the Serie A title, the bookmakers have Napoli slightly ahead of the field. We also believe that Napoli have what it takes to become the 2025-2026 Serie A champions. However, we believe that the competition will be at least as fierce as last year, and we don't see an ‘easy’ title for Antonio Conte's men, who will be able to count on their new recruit Kevin de Bruyne.

While the likes of Juve, AC Milan, Roma and Atalanta still seem a notch below the competition in our opinion, it is Inter Milan, champions the year before and contenders right up to the end last year, who should once again be Napoli's main rivals. Our Serie A winner's prediction for 2025-2026: Napoli crowned Italian champions!

Serie A winner prediction 2025/2026 - odds for the title

• Napoli - 2.62
• Inter Milan - 3.75
• Juventus - 6.00
• AC Milan - 6.50
• Roma - 11.00
• Atalanta - 21.00
• Lazio - 34.00
• Como - 67.00
• Fiorentina - 67.00
• Bologna - 81.00
• Genoa - 501.00
• Sassuolo - 501.00
• Torino - 501.00
• Parma - 751.00
• Udinese - 751.00
• Cagliari - 1001.00
• Verona - 1001.00
• Lecce - 1001.00
• Cremonese - 1501.00
• Pisa - 1501.00

Odds taken from Bet365.

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Italy Serie A Top 4 prediction: who will qualify for the Champions League?

Just behind the future Italian champions, the clubs occupying second, third and fourth place in Serie A will book their tickets for our next Champions League prediction, the 2026-2027 edition.

And the bookmakers are offering bets on this top 4. Immediately after Napoli, who are predicted to be the future champions of the Italian league, last year's runners-up Inter Milan have what it takes to finish in the Champion's League, as we reckon they will be in contention for the title throughout the year.

Secondly, Juventus have finally rediscovered their colours in recent seasons, finishing third and then fourth in Serie A after a very difficult 2022-2023. In our opinion, they will once again be in the top 4. For the last ticket, it's a close call between 3 clubs: AC Milan, Roma and Atalanta. We're putting our money on La Louve, who have hired an excellent coach (Gian Piero Gasperini) who did a marvellous job with Atalanta. Our top 4 Serie A prediction: Napoli, Inter Milan, Juventus and Roma in the Champions League!

Serie A prediction - odds on the favourites for the top 4

• Napoli - 1.22
• Inter Milan - 1.33
• Juventus - 1.57
• AC Milan - 1.57
• Roma - 2.37
• Atalanta - 3.75
• Como - 5.50
• Lazio - 5.50
• Fiorentina - 6.00
• Bologna - 6.00
• Torino - 21.00
• Udinese - 29.00
• Genoa - 34.00
• Parma - 51.00
• Sassuolo - 51.00
• Cagliari - 67.00
• Lecce - 81.00
• Verona - 101.00
• Cremonese - 151.00
• Pisa - 151.00

Odds taken from Bet365.

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Which Italian Serie A club will finish in the Top 5 and qualify for the Europa League?

In addition to the Italian Cup winner, the club occupying fifth place in Serie A at the end of the 2025-2026 season will qualify for the UEFA Europa League (2026-2027 edition).

And in the battle to reach the Europa League, the clubs mentioned above, as well as Lazio, could be in for a magnificent fight. AC Milan, determined to bounce back after a poor campaign last year, could, in our opinion, be in the top five if they are content to go to C3. The Lombardy club still have a good squad and have welcomed back one of their former coaches, the highly experienced Massimiliano Allegri.

Despite the stiff competition for fifth place, our experts have made their picks for Serie A's future top five. Our prediction for Europa League qualification: AC Milan in C3!

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Which clubs will finish in the Top Six and qualify for the Conference League?

​​Finally, the team finishing 6th (or 7th, depending on who wins the Coppa Italia) in Serie A this season will take part in the next edition of the UEFA Europa Conference League.

Italian clubs are not taking this third European Cup lightly either, as Roma won the first edition and Fiorentina reached the final in 2023 and 2024, before reaching the semi-finals last year. As you can see, many Italian clubs are keen to at least take part in this European Cup!

For this third cup again, it's very difficult to make predictions... According to our analysis, the top 6 should once again include some of the longest-standing clubs in the Italian league.

And we reckon that Atalanta, following in the footsteps of their fine recent seasons, could be content with 6th place this time around. The club will be going through a year of transition with the departure of its coach and a number of key players. The battle could well be fierce right to the end with Lazio and Fiorentina in particular. Our prediction for the Conference League qualification: Atalanta Bergamo in C4!

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Relegation prediction: which Serie A clubs will miss out on survival?

At the very bottom of the table, the objectives are very different. The battle to stay in the top flight often takes many clubs down a peg each year.

And this season too, the battle is likely to be fiercely contested in Serie A. A total of three clubs will be relegated (18th, 19th and 20th) for the 2026-2027 season, and a number of clubs are affected. Starting with the already promoted clubs (Sassuolo, Pisa and Cremonese), who should be joined by clubs who fought for survival all last season: Lecce, Parma, Cagliari and Hellas Verona.

The bookmakers are having a hard time making up their minds, if the odds below are anything to go by, and that just goes to show that the fight for survival is likely to be intense right to the end. For our part, we've made our pick. Our Serie A relegation prediction: Pisa, Cremonese and Lecce relegated!

Serie A prediction - relegation odds

• Cremonese - 1.61
• Pisa - 1.72
• Verona - 2.25
• Sassuolo - 3.00
• Lecce - 3.25
• Cagliari - 3.25
• Parma - 4.00
• Genoa - 4.50
• Udinese - 6.00
• Torino - 7.50
• Lazio - 26.00
• Como - 34.00
• Fiorentina - 34.00
• Bologna - 41.00
• Atalanta - 101.00
• Roma - 251.00
• Inter Milan - 251.00
• AC Milan - 351.00
• Juventus - 501.00
• Napoli - 501.00

Odds taken from Bet365.

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Which player will score the most goals?

There's more at stake in the Italian championship than just the collective ones! In fact, one individual accolade is hotly contested in the Serie A every season: that of the top goal scorer (Capocannoniere). In the new 2025-2026 season, which striker will finish top of the Italian league scoring table? Below is a list of players to watch this season:

• Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan)
• Artem Dovbyk (Roma)
• Marcus Thuram (Inter Milan)
• Moise Kean (Fiorentina)
• Santiago Gimenez (AC Milan)
• Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)
• Ciro Immobile (Bologna)
• Dusan Vlahovic (Juventus)

After Mateo Retegui (now in Saudi Arabia) won the Serie A top scorer award last year, who will be crowned this year? It promises to be an intense battle between all the players mentioned in the list above, but we rate Moise Kean as our favourite. He scored 19 goals last year and has no intention of stopping there.

Serie A prediction - odds on the top goalscorer

• Lautaro Martinez - 5.50
• Moise Kean - 6.50
• Jonathan David - 8.00
• Marcus Thuram - 13.00
• Dusan Vlahovic - 15.00
• Romelu Lukaku - 15.00
• Ademola Lookman - 17.00
• Santiago Gimenez - 17.00
• Gianluca Scamacca - 19.00
• Artem Dovbyk - 21.00
• Ciro Immobile - 21.00
• Evan Ferguson - 21.00
• Lorenzo Lucca - 21.00

Odds taken from Bet365.

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Beginners Guide - how does the Italian football championship work?

As you will have gathered, Serie A is Italy's top division football league, which pits the 20 best Italian clubs against each other via a system of home-and-away fixtures. The first phase takes place between August and December, with all the clubs playing each other for the first time. The process is then repeated between January and May, so that all the clubs play each opponent twice (home and away) for a total of 38 rounds. That's 380 matches per edition of Calcio.

At the final whistle of the competition, certain places have an impact on the clubs:

• The club that finishes first is Italian champion (and qualifies for the Champions League)
• 2nd, 3rd and 4th qualify for the Champions League
• The 5th (and 6th depending on who wins the Italian Cup) qualify for the Europa League
• The 6th-placed club (or 7th depending on who wins the Coppa Italia) qualifies for the Europa Conference League
• 18th, 19th and 20th are relegated to Serie B

Whether at the top or bottom of the table, there is a certain amount at stake in this Italian football championship. All this explains why the Serie A prediction is eagerly awaited before each match by many punters.

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How to make good predictions on a Serie A match?

In order to make winning predictions on the Italian Serie A, a few good practices are important for punters, such as having a solid knowledge of the competition in question. But that's not enough, and good practice is also necessary. SportyTrader has been specialising in football and Serie A for a number of years now, and offers you its top tips on how to make the best predictions:

• Check the form of each Italian team
• Take into account the latest Serie A statistics
• Rely on expert analysis
• Take into account what is at stake in the Serie A match
• Keep an eye on the list of players absent in Italy

These are our top tips for making the best Serie A predictions. Find out more about each of these points below.

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Consult the form of each Italian team

This is probably the most important tip for making a reliable football predictions on the Italian football championship. Indeed, consulting and taking into account the form of the 20 teams is an action that should become mechanical and compulsory in your approach to betting on Serie A. For example, if you want to bet on Napoli but the club hasn't won in 7 games, unlike its opponents who have won 5 in a row, then it would be better to avoid making your bet. On the contrary, double the odds on their opponents! Don't hesitate to follow Serie A matches closely.

As far as this tip is concerned, we think it's important to stress that you shouldn't just look at the scores of recent matches. In fact, it is also very important to follow (closely or remotely) the performances put in by the clubs: possession, Expected Goals (xG), the number of shots attempted, on target and conceded, goalposts hit, etc. A team may have truly dominated its last two opponents, and yet still have lost. A team can genuinely have dominated its last two opponents, and still have lost those games. But that doesn't mean it hasn't played some good games in terms of content.

Take into account the latest Serie A statistics

Second tip from our experts: analyse the Serie A statistics! And what's important is to first get an overview of these figures. On this page, a little further down, you can access the major Serie A statistics, particularly in terms of the number of goals scored with Under/Over.

Secondly, it is also important to have the statistics for the most recent matches of each team in Italy's top flight in order to make the right predictions and place the right bets. Having the most recent stats will give you a much better idea of each club's current form.

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Rely on expert analysis

Here's a tip that's vital to the success of your bets on the best sports betting sites. Before you place your bets on the Italian league, taking expert predictions will help you decide whether or not to go ahead with your idea.

At Sportytrader, our tipsters take many aspects of a match into account and analyse a large number of statistics in order to offer you the best, most reliable prediction possible. So don't hesitate to rely on them before betting!

Take into account what's at stake in the Serie A match

For this fourth tip, there will be no statistical analysis, but rather the context in which the match will take place. Is it a derby known to be very hot? Were there any problems in the last match? This aspect is too important and is underestimated by many punters.

For example, an analysis of recent matches between Roma and Lazio shows that tension often takes precedence over the game, and that we rarely see a flurry of goals in this type of encounter. So be careful if you're thinking of trying an 'Over 2.5', for example.

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Watch the list of players absent in Italy

Finally, the last piece of advice is obviously very important. Even though football is played 11 against 11, as everyone knows, there are always one or more truly exceptional players on the pitch. These are the types of players that can turn the tide of a match, and are often difficult for coaches to replace when they are absent. This holds especially true at less prestigious clubs or those with a smaller budget and squad.

So before each bet, it's very important to check the squad given by the coach for the match you want to bet on, to see if there are any major absences.

Injury, suspension, poor form, off-the-pitch problems, disagreements... There could be many reasons why a footballer is absent from a match. Don't forget to check all this out before placing any bets with online sports betting sites!

As you will have gathered, our team always takes into account the advice we have just given you when making each Serie A prediction, as well as many other aspects of this competition.

By checking out each of our Serie A predictions, you can be sure of getting the most reliable overall view of the matches. So don't forget to check out our experts' thoughts before each Serie A weekend!

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What not to do for your Serie A predictions

After the best betting tips to make your predictions a success and have the best chances of winning on all Serie A matches, we now reveal what you should avoid. There are some bad habits you should forget. Below you'll find everything we advise you not to do before making a Serie A football prediction:

• Put aside the analysis of a football match (and Serie A in this particular case)
• Only bet on the big odds
• Don't compare the Calcio odds and take one that is lower than another bookmaker's.
• Take the plunge without any knowledge of the Italian league
• Trying at all costs to make up for losing a bet on Serie A
• Betting too often on live or boosted odds
• Betting too often on your favourite Italian team

All too often, a large number of both beginners and experienced punters fall into one of the habits listed above. So don't forget to put all that to one side before betting on Serie A!

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Italy Serie A statistics you need to know for your predictions

In addition to everything we've just described, having a good knowledge of the most important Serie A statistics is also a major factor in the success of your football predictions. Without further ado, here are the key stats to keep in mind when making your Italian league predictions. Note that these are from the last season (2024-25):

• Home win percentage: 40%
• Draw percentage: 28%
• Away win percentage: 32%
• Average goals: 2.56 goals per game
• +0.5 goals: 93%
• -0.5 goals: 7%
• +1.5 goals: 74%
• -1.5 goals: 26%
• +2.5 goals: 48%
• -2.5 goals: 52%
• +3.5 goals: 26%
• -3.5 goals: 74%
• +4.5 goals: 12%
• -4.5 goals: 88%
• Goal timing distribution: 76-90 minutes (21%)
• First half goals: 44%
• Second half goals: 56%
• Average home goals scored: 1.34 per match
• Average away goals scored: 1.22 per match
• “Both teams to score: Yes”: 52%
• Average shots per match: 22.81 shots
• Wins by 2 goals or more (handicap): 30.2% of matches
• Correct score 0-0: 7.4% of matches
• Correct score 1-1: 13.9% of matches
• Most frequent score: 1-0 or 0-1 (18.7% of matches)

When you place your bets on Serie A, you may notice that certain types of bets are to be favoured. The home win rate is still fairly low, so the X/2 double chance could be worth a try. Serie A remains a very even league, and the home factor is not a huge advantage compared with other leagues. For the best odds, an away win even looks very interesting when you look at the stat.

Note that the exact 1-0 scoreline is used in almost 1 match out of 5. The odds should be very interesting for this type of bet, which is now one of the most popular in football betting, so don't hesitate to try your luck this season. For goal-lovers, the last quarter of an hour should be favoured, as should the second half, which is often more prolific than the first!

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In short: how to make the right Italian Serie A predictions?

In order to have reliable football predictions on the Italian football league, a number of things need to be taken into account as well as carried out. It will be important to analyse each match, for example, but you'll also need to follow all the best practices we've talked about, as well as keeping in mind the general workings of the competition and the major statistics.

If you feel that doing all this will take too much time before each Serie A prediction, remember that all you have to do is consult the predictions of our Italian football and Serie A specialists, who are available before each match.

As a reminder, we offer you a detailed analysis of all 380 matches in the Italian league, completely free of charge and accessible at the top of this page. Find all the Serie A predictions from Sportytrader, ideal help all year round!

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Our current Serie A predictions - Italy

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Serie A: best odds

If you prefer to focus on the Italian top flight, our Serie A odds comparator is available now (100% free), as is Serie A Livescore. Perfect for following Italian football's elite from A to Z! Our Champions League prediction is also available if you'd like to keep a close eye on the progress of Italian clubs in Europe.