Felix Auger Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Montpellier
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Will the final in Montpellier be won by a Frenchman? Unseeded Adrian Mannarino is a surprise finalist and takes on top seed (and defending champion) Felix Auger-Aliassime for the title. Read our match prediction below.
Adrian Mannarino hadn’t won a match or a set this year before this indoor hard-court tournament. He also lost all of his six matches on this surface in 2025. He has somehow rediscovered the form that saw him win three titles in 2023.
It has not been easy for him though. Each of his last three wins this week has seen him need to come from a set down. One seed has been beaten by him so far, beating fifth seeded Ugo Humbert in round two.
Felix Auger-Aliassime is attempting to join Pete Sampras and Richard Gasquet as the only players to retain the Montpellier title. The Canadian has made it to this final for the loss of only one set. That was the middle set in Saturday's semi-final victory over unseeded Titouan Droguet.
Auger-Aliassime is 1-1 in previous matches with Mannarino. This is their first match on this surface. The Canadian has a 4-2 record for 2026. One of his losses was via retirement to Nuno Borges in the Australian Open.
We tip Auger-Aliassime to win in straight sets.
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Felix Auger Aliassime v Adrian Mannarino Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.19 | 4.7 |
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1.19 | 4.7 |
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|
1.17 | 5 |
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1.16 | 4.7 |
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|
1.16 | 4.7 |
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Who will win the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino match is: Felix Auger-Aliassime wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino game on 08/02/2026 of the current ATP Montpellier season:
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 66.78% chance to win against Adrian Mannarino according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.19.
- Adrian Mannarino has a 33.22% probability of winning facing Felix Auger Aliassime ⭐ with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Felix Auger Aliassime has a 66.78 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 66.78 % |
| Adrian Mannarino | 33.22 % |
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Adrian Mannarino Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
6 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
5 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
5 Jan 2026 - United Cup
4 Jan 2026 - United Cup
15 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
6 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
2 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
27 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Aug 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Felix Auger Aliassime - Adrian Mannarino Key Points
- The last match between these two players was won by Auger-Aliassime in straight sets.
- Auger-Aliassime is seventh in the live rankings, 44 places above Mannarino.
- Auger-Aliassime is the defending champion.
- Auger-Aliassime has only lost one set so far, compared to three for Mannarino.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction
Not since Gael Monfils in 2020 has a home player won this tournament in Montpellier. Adrian Mannarino's previous best performance in this tournament had been a quarter-final four years ago. He arrived here in terrible form but has battled his way to his first ever final in France.
To become champion, he definitely needs to start faster. Only once in four wins has Mannarino won the first set. He takes on defending champion Felix Auger-Aliassime who has only lost one set all week. Our Felix Auger-Aliassime v Adrian Mannarino prediction is Felix Auger-Aliassime wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
