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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
We’re off to Colorado’s Ball Arena for Game 3 in the NBA Playoff series between the Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday night. The Thunder beat the Nuggets on Wednesday to level the series 1-1. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After an excellent Game 1 performance, the Denver Nuggets were brought crashing back to earth in midweek when they were completely outplayed, outclassed, and beaten 149-106.
Perhaps the short turnaround times between games are starting to show, as Denver looked way off it in Game 2. This was evidenced by Nikola Jokic only managing 17 points, a long way from his 44-point showing in Game 1.
The Nuggets shot just 37.9% from the field and committed a whopping 20 turnovers. Michael Porter Jr had a terrible outing with only eight points, while Christian Braun added only six points.
In contrast, after looking a little rusty after their extended layoff, the Oklahoma City Thunder reminded us why they were the best team in the NBA regular season.
OKC poured in 87 points in the first half - tying the NBA Playoff record for most points in a half - led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 34 points on 11 of 13 shooting from the field and perfect 11 of 11 from the free throw line.
The Thunder shot 56% from the field and eight players ended the game in double digits, including all five starters, while Chet Holmgren continues to be a force on the defensive end.
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The Best Betting Odds for Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3 | 1.41 |
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2.87 | 1.4 |
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2.75 | 1.38 |
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3.01 | 1.39 |
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2.95 | 1.42 |
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Who will win the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 09/05/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Denver Nuggets has a 32.38% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 4.6.
- There is a probability of 67.62% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Denver Nuggets with odds of 1.42 at Tonybet.
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches

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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- The Thunder have won five of their last eight games against this opponent.
- The Thunder have won 16 of their last 17 away games.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 games.
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last five NBA Playoff semi-final Game 3s.
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Our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
After dropping Game 1, the Thunder needed a response in midweek, and boy, did they deliver, so much so that they are the favourites here despite the Nuggets winning three of their four Playoff home games this season.
Whether it’s fatigue or something deeper, the Nuggets were nowhere close to the level of OKC in the last game, and while we are expecting a better showing from them at home, we still feel the Thunder can get the W. Our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5.
If your team in the Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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