Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Japan Open
ATP - ATP Japan Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Which of these two unseeded players will reach the last eight of the outdoor hard court Japan Open. Denis Shapovalov takes on Alejandro Tabilo in round two of this tournament. Shapovalov is in good form and was a semi-finalist in his last tournament. Our prediction is he will win this match.
Whoever wins will be up against either unseeded Matteo Arnaldi or top seed Carlos Alcaraz in the quarter-finals.
Denis Shapovalov is the world number 46 and that's 15 places below his opponent. He is in better form than Tabilo though. His most recent tournament saw him reach the last four of the Chengdu Open. Before that, Shapovalov was the runner-up in Los Cabos.
His good form continued with a straight sets win in round one over Sho Shimabukuro.
Shapovalov has won 14 of his 24 matches played on this surface in 2026. He has twice reached the last four of this tournament in 2018 and 2022.
Alejandro Tabilo has reached one ATP Tour outdoor hard court semi-final this year, doing so in Washington two months ago.
He's failed to get past the third round of a tournament since then.
Before he defeated Tommy Paul in round one of this tournament, Tabilo had lost three matches in a row.
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Denis Shapovalov v Alejandro Tabilo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.59 | 2.32 |
|
|
1.63 | 2.36 |
|
|
1.61 | 2.33 |
|
|
1.61 | 2.33 |
|
|
1.57 | 2.38 |
|
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Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo match is: Denis Shapovalov wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo game on 02/10/2026 of the current ATP Japan Open season:
- Denis Shapovalov has a 62.27% chance to win against Alejandro Tabilo according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.66.
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 37.73% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 62.27 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 62.27 % |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 37.73 % |
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Form
Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
28 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
24 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
24 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
24 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
19 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup
5 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Tabilo Key Points
- Shapovalov reached the semi-finals in his last tournament.
- Shapovalov is a two-time Japan Open semi-finalist.
- Tabilo had lost his last three matches before his first round victory.
- Shapovalov has won six of his last eight outdoor hard court matches.
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction
Denis Shapovalov will hope to continue the good form he has shown on this surface in recent months. He was a semi-finalist in his most recent tournament and twice in the past he has made it to the last four of the Japan Open in Tokyo. He had a good first round win.
Alejandro Tabilo has been struggling for wins in recent weeks with three successive defeats on outdoor hard courts. He showed some improved form in the first round. This could go to three sets, but our main Denis Shapovalov v Alejandro Tabilo prediction is Denis Shapovalov wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
