Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
Unseeded Stefanos Tsitsipas last reached the semi-finals of the Shanghai Masters in 2019. Round four of this outdoor hard court tournament will see him face fourth seed Daniil Medvedev. He's lost ten of his 15 matches against the Russian. Our prediction is Medvedev will win the first set and the match.
In the last eight, the victor here will be up against either 15th seed Tommy Paul or unseeded Zizou Bergs.
A win for Tsitsipas will take the Greek into his second outdoor hard court quarter-final of the year. He has a 21-11 record on this surface in 2026.
This Masters tournament has produced victories over Kimmer Coppejans, 18th seed Luciano Darderi and seventh-seeded Taylor Fritz after losing the first set.
On outdoor hard courts, Medvedev leads Tsitsipas 6-2. He's won the first set in five of his six victories.
Medvedev is trying to put behind him his disqualification in the recent China Open. The Russian had to come from behind to beat Jan-Lennard Struff in his opening match in Shanghai. Smoother progress was made in round three as he beat Dalibor Svrcina in straight sets.
He has won three ATP Tour outdoor hard court titles this year, most recently in Hangzhou.
12 of his last 13 wins have seen him win the opening set.
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Daniil Medvedev v Stefanos Tsitsipas Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 2.80 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.88 |
|
|
1.43 | 2.85 |
|
|
1.43 | 2.85 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
|
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas match is: Daniil Medvedev wins set one and match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas game on 14/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 59.22% chance to win against Stefanos Tsitsipas according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.45.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 40.78% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 2.88 at 1xbet.
Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 59.22 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 59.22 % |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 40.78 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Form
Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
3 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
29 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
8 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
28 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
18 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
9 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
28 Oct 2023 - ATP Vienna
20 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
20 Aug 2022 - ATP Cincinnati Open
28 Jan 2022 - ATP Australian Open
Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas Key Points
- Medvedev leads Tsitsipas 10-5 in previous editions.
- Medvedev has won three ATP Tour outdoor hard court titles in 2026.
- Only one of Medvedev's last 13 wins has seen him fail to win the first set.
- Medvedev has won nine of his last ten matches, losing the other by default.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction
Daniil Medvedev will want to keep his cool as much as he wants to win this fourth round match. After a shaky first match in Shanghai, the Russian was in much better form when he defeated Dalibor Svrcina in straight sets. He leads Tsitsipas 10-5 in previous meetings.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has only made it to one ATP Tour outdoor hard court quarter-final. He has shown good form in Shanghai and this could well go to three sets. Our main Daniil Medvedev v Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins set one and match.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Daniil Medvedev or Stefanos Tsitsipas, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
