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Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
16/08/2025 15:30
Benfica Lisbon

Prediction :

 

Benfica wins & BTTS (NO)

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions

Saturday's Primeira Liga action will draw to a close at Estadio Jose Gomes, where Estrela will be playing host to Benfica. The Tricolores and As Aguias are ninth and 10th in the league standings, respectively. Let's get into the match prediction. 

After surviving their second consecutive campaign in the top flight, Estrela's goal this season will likely be to push closer to the top half of the standings. Last term, they earned 29 points from 34 league games (W7 D8 L19).

One of the major difficulties the Tricolores faced last term was a lack of attacking output, with the team scoring just 24 goals - the joint-fewest in the division alongside relegated Boavista.

The hosts played out a 1-1 draw away to Estoril last week. This is their first home game of the season. In 2024-25, they recorded W5 D4 L8 in 17 home league games. 

Meanwhile, last season ended in major heartbreak for Benfica, with a 1-1 draw against Braga on the final day costing them the league title. They were then beaten to the Taca de Portugal crown by Sporting a week later. 

As Aguias’ opening league game of this season was postponed owing to their Champions League qualifier against Nice, which they won 4-0 on aggregate, ahead of this match. 

The visitors ended last term with the second-best away record in the top flight, taking 36 points from their 17 outings (W11 D3 L3). They have also won each of their last nine matches against this opponent across all competitions. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Estrela Amadora v Benfica Lisbon Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
15 7 1.2
Betfred
15 6.5 1.17
William Hill
15 6 1.2
Betway
12 6 1.2
Unibet
16 7.5 1.15
Check all Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estrela Amadora and Benfica Lisbon?

Our prediction for the Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Benfica wins & BTTS (NO).

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2025 between Estrela Amadora and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 7.89% for a win of Estrela Amadora against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 16 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon is 24.28% with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 67.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora with odds of 1.2 at Bet365.

Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon Form

Estrela Amadora and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
1 1 0 1 0 0
10
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
0 0 0 0 0 0

Estrela Amadora and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches

Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora Last matches
W L L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  1
Estrela Amadora

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Farense
1 :  0
Estrela Amadora

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora

11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  1
AVS Futebol SAD

5 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  0
Estrela Amadora

26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  0
Porto
D D L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  1
AVS Futebol SAD

26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  0
Porto

13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  1
Farense

29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

7 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  1
Gil Vicente

23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  0
Santa Clara
W L L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  1
Estrela Amadora

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Farense
1 :  0
Estrela Amadora

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora

5 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  0
Estrela Amadora

19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  0
Estrela Amadora

6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
0 :  1
Estrela Amadora
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Nice

6 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Nice
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Bayern Munich
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Nice

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Bayern Munich

20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
6 :  0
Auckland City

25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  3
Sporting Lisbon
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Nice
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Boca Juniors
2 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Estrela Amadora

0 %

Draw

0 %

Benfica Lisbon

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (home team)
3.33
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
7 :  0
Estrela Amadora

24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Estrela Amadora

29 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  4
Benfica Lisbon

19 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Estrela Amadora

20 Nov 2022 - Portugal League Cup

Estrela Amadora
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
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Missing players

Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Defender

G. Montoia

Midfielder

R. Oliveira Botelho

Forward

J. Cabral

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Defender

A. Bah

Midfielder

M. Silva

Forward

Bruma

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Estrela Amadora
CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Romania I. Stoica (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Best assists
Brazil R. Pinho (1 Assists)
Best assists

Estrela Amadora - Benfica Lisbon Key Points

  1. Only one team scored in nine of Estrela's last 10 league games.
  2. Estrela failed to score in three of their last four home league games.
  3. Benfica are unbeaten in their last 15 league games.
  4. Benfica have won seven of their last eight away league games.
  5. Benfica have won their last nine matches against this opponent across all competitions.
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Our Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

Estrela would have been fairly content with surviving another season in the top flight last time out, but they will need major improvement in attack this season if they are to close the gap to the sides in the top half.

Benfica were reminded in the harshest way possible how big a difference fine margins can make in the top flight when they were pipped to the league title. They will want to make a statement here in their season opener. Our Estrela vs Benfica prediction is Benfica wins & BTTS (NO).

Prediction :

 

Benfica wins & BTTS (NO)

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
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