Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions
Saturday's Primeira Liga action will draw to a close at Estadio Jose Gomes, where Estrela will be playing host to Benfica. The Tricolores and As Aguias are ninth and 10th in the league standings, respectively. Let's get into the match prediction.
After surviving their second consecutive campaign in the top flight, Estrela's goal this season will likely be to push closer to the top half of the standings. Last term, they earned 29 points from 34 league games (W7 D8 L19).
One of the major difficulties the Tricolores faced last term was a lack of attacking output, with the team scoring just 24 goals - the joint-fewest in the division alongside relegated Boavista.
The hosts played out a 1-1 draw away to Estoril last week. This is their first home game of the season. In 2024-25, they recorded W5 D4 L8 in 17 home league games.
Meanwhile, last season ended in major heartbreak for Benfica, with a 1-1 draw against Braga on the final day costing them the league title. They were then beaten to the Taca de Portugal crown by Sporting a week later.
As Aguias’ opening league game of this season was postponed owing to their Champions League qualifier against Nice, which they won 4-0 on aggregate, ahead of this match.
The visitors ended last term with the second-best away record in the top flight, taking 36 points from their 17 outings (W11 D3 L3). They have also won each of their last nine matches against this opponent across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Estrela Amadora v Benfica Lisbon Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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15 | 7 | 1.2 |
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15 | 6.5 | 1.17 |
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15 | 6 | 1.2 |
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12 | 6 | 1.2 |
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16 | 7.5 | 1.15 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estrela Amadora and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Benfica wins & BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2025 between Estrela Amadora and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 7.89% for a win of Estrela Amadora against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 16 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon is 24.28% with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 67.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora with odds of 1.2 at Bet365.
Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Estrela Amadora and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8
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1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Estrela Amadora and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
20 Nov 2022 - Portugal League Cup
Missing players

G. Montoia
MidfielderR. Oliveira Botelho
ForwardJ. Cabral

A. Bah
MidfielderM. Silva
ForwardBruma
Most goals and assists




Estrela Amadora - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Only one team scored in nine of Estrela's last 10 league games.
- Estrela failed to score in three of their last four home league games.
- Benfica are unbeaten in their last 15 league games.
- Benfica have won seven of their last eight away league games.
- Benfica have won their last nine matches against this opponent across all competitions.
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Our Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Estrela would have been fairly content with surviving another season in the top flight last time out, but they will need major improvement in attack this season if they are to close the gap to the sides in the top half.
Benfica were reminded in the harshest way possible how big a difference fine margins can make in the top flight when they were pipped to the league title. They will want to make a statement here in their season opener. Our Estrela vs Benfica prediction is Benfica wins & BTTS (NO).
Use £/€50 free bets for the Estrela Amadora vs. Benfica Lisbon game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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