Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City can go top of the Premier League if they win at Burnley on Wednesday. They are second in the table and will be confident of earning three points away at 19th placed Burnley. Can the Clarets get a shock home win? Read our match prediction below.
Sunday saw the Blues beat league leaders Arsenal 2-1 at home. This is their game in hand on the Gunners and they trail them by three points. Their goal difference is only one behind Arsenal's and they will look to boost it with a comfortable win at Turf Moor. City are on one of those runs at present and if the past is anything to go by, it will end with them lifting at least one more trophy this season.
Burnley are on their way back to the Championship. They are 12 points from safety with five games to play and have rarely looked like surviving this season. After another heavy loss on Sunday, it does look only a matter of time before their relegation is confirmed.
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Burnley v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17 | 8.8 | 1.15 |
|
|
20 | 9.6 | 1.11 |
|
|
18 | 9.2 | 1.13 |
|
|
17 | 9 | 1.14 |
|
|
18 | 8.8 | 1.12 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Manchester City match is: Half-time/Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/04/2026 between Burnley and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 8% for a win of Burnley against Manchester City with odds of 20 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Manchester City is 17.81% with odds of 9.6 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 74.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Burnley with odds of 1.17 at LSbet.
Burnley - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 74.19% | 1.17 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.56% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City | 32.93% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Manchester City Form
Burnley and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Manchester City Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
23 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
23 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Burnley vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2023 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - FA Cup
2 Apr 2022 - Premier League
16 Oct 2021 - Premier League
Burnley - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Manchester City have already won the EFL Cup this season. The weekend sees them in their almost annual FA Cup semi-final when they take on Southampton at Wembley. Before that, they travel to Turf Moor for this away game against Burnley.
The Citizens have earned 24 points from their last ten league games with no defeats. Sunday saw them increase the pressure on Arsenal as they beat the league leaders 2-1 at the Etihad. That was their fourth straight victory with 11 goals being scored.
Not since January have they been beaten in the Premier League. Three of their last four away league games have been won. City have an incredible record against their opponents with 14 successive victories. The reverse fixture in September was won 5-1.
Relegation is on its way for Burnley.
Burnley went ahead at Nottingham Forest on Sunday but ended up losing 4-1. They have only won two home league matches this season with nine being lost. Only two points have been earned from their last five home league fixtures at Turf Moor.
The Clarets have gone eight league games without a win, losing six of them. Not since October have they won a home league match and have failed to score in their last two. They haven't scored in their last four home matches against City.
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Burnley against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderJ. Worrall
L. Pires
MidfielderL. Ugochukwu
F. Luis
M. Tresor
A. Broja
M. Edwards
L. Foster
J. Trafford
DefenderJ. Stones
N. Ake
MidfielderSavinho
T. Reijnders
M. Kovacic
N. Gonzalez
P. Foden
ForwardO. Marmoush
Missing players
C. Roberts
A. Tuanzebe
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
H. Mejbri
ForwardZ. Amdouni
R. Dias
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderRodri
Burnley & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Even if Burnley were to win their final five league games, the chances are they will be relegated to the Championship. The fact they have only had four league victories this season makes it so unlikely that they are going to get out of the bottom three.
They have several players missing for this match and simply don't have the strength in depth that most other Premier League clubs possess. Just look at their bench for recent games and compare it to that fielded by their opponents.
Connor Roberts, Hannibal Mejbri and Josh Cullen are among those who will be absent on Wednesday.
City will be looking for goals galore.
Manchester City are closing in on Arsenal and will go top if they can win this match. It is tight at the top of the Premier League and goal difference or the number of goals scored could yet decide who becomes Premier League champions.
With that in mind, City will be looking to get their usual wide margin victory over Burnley. While three points are an absolute must, winning by a one or two-goal margin would be seen as a missed opportunity.
Rodri is a doubt for City as it looks as if he injured his groin in Sunday's win over the Gunners. If he is unable to play on Wednesday, Nico Gonzalez could come into the starting line-up. City may look to make changes if an early lead can be secured with the weekend FA Cup semi-final in mind.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Manchester City
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
Burnley - Manchester City Key Points
- Manchester City have earned 24 points from their last ten league games.
- Five of Manchester City's eight away league wins this season saw them lead at both half and full time.
- Burnley have trailed at both half and full time in eight of their nine home league losses this season.
- Manchester City have won their last 14 (11 in the league) games against Burnley.
- Burnley have won one of their last 24 league games.
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Our Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction
Manchester City are on a charge and it is going to take a lot to stop them winning the Premier League. City beat Arsenal 2-1 at home on Sunday and over the last ten league games, they have earned four points more than any other side.
Burnley have been struggling all season and relegation looks inevitable. They have only won four league games with 21 defeats being suffered. Their record against City is simply appalling. Our main Burnley v Manchester City prediction is Half-time/Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City.
Burnley vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
Manchester City wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Manchester City
| Burnley vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 11 | 20 | +81.8% |
| Draw | 5.8 | 9.6 | +65.5% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.26 | 1.17 | -7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 79.4% and is now 85.5% (6.1%)
Burnley vs Manchester City - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
