Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC Fight Night
MMA - UFC Fight Night
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
Duncan owns an 88% career win rate to Allen's 79%, and our Allen vs Duncan match prediction at UFC Fight Night backs the underdog despite the odds. CLD has won 15 of 17 fights, while All In has won 27 of 34. What’s more, the Englishman also holds a 10 cm reach advantage, 201 cm to 191 cm. And since both men stand 188 cm, that extra length is pure leverage.
Leroy Duncan arrives on a five-fight UFC winning streak. He outpointed former title challenger Jared Cannonier in July, 30-27, 30-27, 29-28. Before that came a 29-28 sweep of Roman Dolidze and a spinning back fist knockout of Marco Tulio. Notably, CLD has not lost since July 2024.
Allen is no pushover though, riding a three-fight streak of his own. He beat Marvin Vettori by decision, forced Reinier de Ridder's corner to stop the fight, then outpointed Edmen Shahbazyan in June. All In is also ranked in the top five, while Duncan sits 10th. Additionally, Allen’s last loss came in February 2025.
Still, win rate and reach are the numbers that favor the underdog. It’s true that Allen's ranking and bigger sample, 34 fights against 17, are fair counterweights. However, Duncan has beaten ranked opposition twice in a row, and enters on a five-match winning streak.
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Brendan Allen - Christian Leroy Duncan Key Points
- Duncan has won 15 of 17 fights, an 88% win rate, against Allen's 27 of 34, or 79%.
- Duncan holds a 10 cm reach edge, 201 cm to 191 cm, with both men standing 188 cm.
- Duncan has won five straight UFC fights, most recently a unanimous decision over Jared Cannonier.
- Duncan knocked out Marco Tulio with a spinning back fist in round two in November 2025.
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Our Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Prediction
Duncan holds the better career win rate, 88% against 79% for Allen, and a 10 cm reach advantage. To top it off, CLD arrives on a five-fight winning streak that includes a decision over former title challenger Jared Cannonier.
All In has won three straight himself and ranks higher, so this is no easy upset. Still, the numbers favor the Englishman's length and consistency on fight night, with two recent wins over ranked middleweights. Hence, our Allen vs Duncan prediction is that Leroy Duncan wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
