Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
After hosting Atletico Madrid away from the Camp Nou in the last three meetings, Barcelona will return home for this iconic La Liga fixture. This Tuesday night match finds the two sides in the thick of the title race, with Barcelona on top and Atletico third. Three points separate the two sides, and below is our prediction for this encounter.
By virtue of playing a day before Real Madrid, Barcelona have scaled to the league summit, opening up a two-point lead. That was courtesy of a comeback at home on Saturday to beat Alaves. These teams have already met three times in 2025, with those matches producing a total of 15 goals.
Atletico Madrid have failed to beat Barcelona in the last three meetings, losing twice. Diego Simeone’s men will feel this is a stat they can change, given their recent form. The visitors have posted straight wins since their startling defeat at Arsenal in the Champions League.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 4.33 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.8 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
1.75 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.78 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.1 | 4.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid match is: Barcelona wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/12/2025 between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.56% for a win of Barcelona against Atletico Madrid with odds of 1.84 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid is 18.33% with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona with odds of 4.25 at Unibet.
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Form
Barcelona and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
|
4
|
31 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
Barcelona and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
27 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
Barcelona - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Across their last 10 matches, Barcelona have only registered back-to-back wins twice. They will be targeting the same here, following their 3-1 win against Alaves last time out.
The Catalans needed a Dani Olmo brace to add to Lamine Yamal’s eighth-minute equalizer. That was the sixth time in eight matches that they scored three or more goals. It was a needed response following their 3-0 defeat to Chelsea in their midweek Champions League outing.
Barca are struggling to keep it clean at the back, managing just one clean sheet in the last 10 games. They won’t mind any of that as long as they keep their home run, having won five straight matches they hosted.
Atletico Madrid have scored first in 14 straight La Liga matches.
Atletico Madrid have closed in on the top two courtesy of an impressive run of their own. They’ve had a complete shift since their 4-0 defeat at Arsenal in the Champions League.
Diego Simeone has overseen seven straight wins across all competitions since. Heading into this game, Los Colchoneros made easy work of bottom side Real Oviedo, winning 2-0.
That was their fifth clean sheet in nine matches. For the fifth time in seven matches, they managed a win by two clear goals but will need their clean sheets more against Barcelona.
In the last two away matches, Atletico won with clean sheets.
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Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
M. ter Stegen
MidfielderGavi
F. Lopez
J. Oblak
DefenderR. Le Normand
MidfielderM. Llorente
Barcelona & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Barcelona have Raphinha back in the picture, and against Alaves, he had his first start since returning from a thigh injury. The Brazilian didn’t disappoint, helping himself to an assist, setting up Barcelona’s second goal of the game.
Dani Olmo, who has also been on and off, will come into this game on a high, having netted twice in the win over Alaves. The Spaniard has five goal contributions in La Liga this season.
With an xG of 2.81, we will be backing him as a serious threat here.
Julian Alvarez has had nine goal contributions for Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid will be sure to face a tough attacking side and have to be at their best defensively. They are facing the leading two assist providers in Marcus Rashford and Lamine Yamal.
It will call for an alert Jan Oblak to deal with this threat. The Slovenian has proven himself in these circumstances, coming here on five clean sheets in the 13 league matches he has played.
The latest of them came last time out as Atletico beat Real Oviedo.
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
F. Torres
(9 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(10 Goals)
L. Yamal
(8 Assists)
, 
M. Rashford
(8 Assists)
G. Simeone
(5 Assists)
Barcelona and Atletico Madrid Stats in LaLiga
Barcelona - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Barcelona have posted five straight wins at home.
- Atletico failed to win six of their last eight away games.
- Barcelona lost just once in their last nine home matches.
- Atletico Madrid lost seven of their last 10 meetings with Barcelona.
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Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
This is definitely going to be another intriguing encounter between these two sides as they are involved in the title race. Atletico Madrid are on a seven-game winning run and will want to send a statement here. However, Barcelona are equally as good, and playing at Camp Nou elevates their chances further.
The head-to-head records also give Barcelona an edge, having won seven of their last 10 meetings with Atletico. It will take a monumental effort for Atletico to stop Barcelona at their refurbished home. Our prediction for Barcelona v Atletico Madrid is therefore that Barcelona wins.
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS
Atletico Madrid have been a different team since their heavy defeat at Arsenal in the Champions League. Coming here on seven straight wins, they are odds-on to score in this game. In 19 matches, they only failed to score in that 4-0 defeat.
Barcelona, on their part, have failed to score once in their last 18 matches. They’ve, however, managed only one clean sheet in 13 games. With this in mind, we will back both teams to score as our second prediction.
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Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The Barcelona v Atletico Madrid match will be played at Camp Nou.
The current state of the Camp Nou stadium allows only 45,401. When complete, it will have a capacity of 105,000.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
