Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Wimbledon Championships
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka will face a familiar foe in Jelena Ostapenko in the third round at Wimbledon. This is to mark their fifth career meeting and first at a major. With her dominance against Ostapenko, our prediction favors Sabalenka to win.
Sabalenka has won both her matches this week without dropping a set. The world number one outwitted qualifier Teodora Kostovic in the first round and then McCartney Kessler.
Sabalenka was unable to conquer the first two majors in Melbourne and Paris but is highly favored to come out on top at the All England Club.
The Belarussian, who has lost just five of the 40 matches she has played this term, has exited Wimbledon in the semis for three straight seasons.
Ostapenko defeated Sabalenka when they last met. That was in 2025, in the final of the clay event in Stuttgart. The Latvian was in magnificent form in that match, losing just five games.
The win ended a three-match losing run in this fixture, and she will look back on that to build up her confidence. A former Wimbledon semi-finalist, Ostapenko is coming off an outstanding second-round performance.
Facing off with Antonia Ruzic, the 29-year-old, who has returned to the WTA top-30 after the victory, won by the loss of just two games.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Jelena Ostapenko Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.25 | 4.5 |
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1.22 | 4.34 |
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1.22 | 4.34 |
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1.22 | 4.34 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
20 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
19 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
17 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
3 Jun 2026 - WTA French Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
24 Jun 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
22 Jun 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
27 May 2026 - WTA French Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
21 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
15 May 2024 - WTA Rome
22 Feb 2023 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko Key Points
- Sabalenka has won 35 matches this term.
- Ostapenko has lost 14 times so far in 2026.
- Sabalenka has beaten Ostapenko three times previously.
- For three seasons straight, Sabalenka has made it to the Wimbledon semi-finals.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction
Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Jelena Ostapenko is for the exact score: 2-1. Sabalenka has won three times in four meetings with Ostapenko. With this record coupled with her impeccable form this year, Sabalenka is likely to come out on top once again.
Aside from her form and head-to-head advantage, Sabalenka has also been impressive on grass. She finished in the last four at Wimbledon for three straight seasons. However, victory for her isn’t likely to come easily, as Ostapenko is no pushover. The Latvian is a grass specialist herself and won the last time she met Sabalenka.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
