Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA National Bank Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
16th seed Ekaterina Alexandrova has fought her way to the fourth round of the Canadian Open, where a tie with top seed Aryna Sabalenka awaits. This will be their second meeting of the year and 10th overall. Sabalenka has defeated Alexandrova five times, and this prediction goes in her favor.
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Zhang Shuai in straight sets in the last round. The world number one, who is the favorite to win this year’s tournament, hasn’t dropped a set this week.
A winner of 38 matches so far in 2026, Sabalenka has dominated her path on hard courts. She has lost just once on such surfaces in 26 outings. Among Sabalenka’s victories was a 2-0 win over Alexandrova in Berlin back in June.
Ekaterina Alexandrova had to dig deep to avoid elimination in the last round. Facing off with Talia Gibson, the Russian fought her way from 1-0 down and secured victory in two hours.
Alexandrova has shown an improvement in form in recent weeks. Though still on a losing record, the 31-year-old has registered seven of her total 13 wins in her last 11 outings.
Despite fighting her way to the second week of the competition, Alexandrova has dropped to 20th in the live ranking.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.16 | 5.4 |
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1.18 | 5.16 |
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1.17 | 5.1 |
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1.17 | 5.1 |
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1.17 | 5.1 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova match is: Aryna Sabalenka at -5.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova game on 08/08/2026 of the current WTA National Bank Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 69.13% chance to win against Ekaterina Alexandrova according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.18.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 30.87% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 5.7 at Shangrila.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 69.13 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 69.13 % |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 30.87 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
5 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
3 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
3 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
17 Jun 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
11 Feb 2025 - WTA Doha
31 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
10 Jul 2023 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova Key Points
- Sabalenka has defeated Alexandrova five times.
- On hard courts this season, Sabalenka has won 25 of 26 duels.
- Alexandrova lost six times in her last seven meetings with top-10 opponents.
- Alexandrova has lost six of the last 10 fixtures she has played on hard courts.
- Sabalenka hasn’t relinquished more than seven games per match this week.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction
In our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova, we have Aryna Sabalenka at -5.5. Sabalenka has been in fine form once again this season and has continued to strengthen her world number one ranking. She has been almost unbeatable on hard courts, losing just one of the 26 fixtures she has played on such surfaces.
Though her meetings with Alexandrova have been give and take, Sabalenka arrives as the overwhelming favorite to win here. This is because Alexandrova has been out-of-form for much of the season and has had a shaky run in Toronto.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Ekaterina Alexandrova, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.