WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open


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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Aryna Sabalenka attempts to win a third Madrid Open. The top seed faces the fourth-seeded Coco Gauff in the final of this outdoor clay court tournament. Can Gauff cause an upset? Read our match prediction.
The only clay tournament titles Sabalenka has ever won have been in Madrid. Her two wins came in 2021 and 2023 and this is her third successive final in this WTA 1000 tournament. The top seed has only dropped one set on her way to this final.
In the last four, Sabalenka defeated 17th-seeded Elina Svitolina in straight sets. This is the tenth match between these two players and Gauff leads 5-4. The American also won their only match played on clay in Rome four years ago.
Cori Gauff is playing only her third clay court final. Only one was won and both finals (the other was at Roland Garros) were played four years ago.
Gauff made a terrible start to this WTA 1000 tournament with the first set of her opening match against Dayana Yastremska being lost 6-0. That’s the only set the American has dropped in this tournament.
The semi-final saw her in excellent form as the 21-year-old beat the defending champion Iga Swiatek 6-1 6-1..
We tip Sabalenka to win this final.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Coco Gauff Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.75 | 2 |
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1.77 | 2.07 |
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1.81 | 2.09 |
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1.81 | 2.09 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff game on 03/05/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 55.8% chance to win against Coco Gauff according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.81.
- Coco Gauff has a 44.2% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 2.14 at Betobet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 55.8 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Aryna Sabalenka | 55.8 % |
Coco Gauff | 44.2 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 May 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 May 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
28 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
8 Nov 2024 - WTA Doha
12 Oct 2024 - WTA Wuhan Open
25 Jan 2024 - WTA Australian Open
9 Sep 2023 - WTA US Open
15 Mar 2023 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka - Coco Gauff Key Points
- Sabalenka won this title in 2021 and 2023.
- This is the third successive year in which Sabalenka has reached the Madrid final.
- Gauff is in her first clay court final since 2021.
- Sabalenka is top of the overall rankings and WTA Live Race.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka must eagerly look forward to the Madrid Open. Two titles have already been won here and this is her third successive final. Only one set has been lost by the top seed and in the last four she ended the winning run of Elina Svitolina.
Cori Gauff is in her first final on this surface in four years but has lost two of her last three matches against her opponent. This could well go to a third set but our main Aryna Sabalenka v Cori Gauff prediction is Aryna Sabalenka to win.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Coco Gauff , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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