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Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA 1 Russia
Aryna Sabalenka
03/05/2025 05:00
WTA 4 USA
Coco Gauff

Prediction :

 

Aryna Sabalenka to win

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Aryna Sabalenka attempts to win a third Madrid Open. The top seed faces the fourth-seeded Coco Gauff in the final of this outdoor clay court tournament. Can Gauff cause an upset? Read our match prediction.

The only clay tournament titles Sabalenka has ever won have been in Madrid. Her two wins came in 2021 and 2023 and this is her third successive final in this WTA 1000 tournament. The top seed has only dropped one set on her way to this final.

In the last four, Sabalenka defeated 17th-seeded Elina Svitolina in straight sets. This is the tenth match between these two players and Gauff leads 5-4.  The American also won their only match played on clay in Rome four years ago.

Cori Gauff is playing only her third clay court final. Only one was won and both finals (the other was at Roland Garros) were played four years ago.

 Gauff made a terrible start to this WTA 1000 tournament with the first set of her opening match against Dayana Yastremska being lost 6-0. That’s the only set the American has dropped in this tournament.

The semi-final saw her in excellent form as the 21-year-old beat the defending champion Iga Swiatek 6-1 6-1..

We tip Sabalenka to win this final.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Coco Gauff Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.73 2.1
Ladbrokes
1.75 2
NetBet
1.77 2.07
1xbet
1.81 2.09
22bet
1.81 2.09
Check all Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff odds
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff game on 03/05/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has a 55.8% chance to win against Coco Gauff according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.81.
  • Coco Gauff has a 44.2% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 2.14 at Betobet.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 55.8 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Aryna Sabalenka55.8 %
Coco Gauff44.2 %

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff Last Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

1 May 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elina Svitolina

30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Marta Kostyuk

29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Peyton Stearns

27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Anna Blinkova

21 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Jelena Ostapenko
Coco Gauff Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

1 May 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Mirra Andreeva
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

28 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Belinda Bencic
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Ann Li
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Dayana Yastremska
1 :  2
Coco Gauff

19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aryna Sabalenka

60 %

Coco Gauff

40 %

8 Nov 2024 - WTA Doha

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

12 Oct 2024 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Coco Gauff

25 Jan 2024 - WTA Australian Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

9 Sep 2023 - WTA US Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  1
Aryna Sabalenka

15 Mar 2023 - WTA Indian Wells

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka
Compare Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff with our comparison tool.

Aryna Sabalenka - Coco Gauff Key Points

  1. Sabalenka won this title in 2021 and 2023.
  2. This is the third successive year in which Sabalenka has reached the Madrid final.
  3. Gauff is in her first clay court final since 2021.
  4. Sabalenka is top of the overall rankings and WTA Live Race.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Prediction

Aryna Sabalenka must eagerly look forward to the Madrid Open. Two titles have already been won here and this is her third successive final. Only one set has been lost by the top seed and in the last four she ended the winning run of Elina Svitolina.

Cori Gauff is in her first final on this surface in four years but has lost two of her last three matches against her opponent. This could well go to a third set but our main Aryna Sabalenka v Cori Gauff prediction is Aryna Sabalenka to win.

Prediction :

 

Aryna Sabalenka to win

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Prediction
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