Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
The fourth round (last 16) of the Cincinnati Open sees fifth seed Alex de Minaur facing a tough challenge. He faces the 21st seed Arthur Fils and both players have already played tie-breaks in this tournament. Our prediction therefore is more than 0.5 tie-breaks in this match.
The winner will be up against either 14th seed Jakub Mensik or unseeded Thiago Agustin Tirante in the last eight.
Arthur Fils was 21st in the latest rankings, 13 places adrift of his opponent. However, he's only four behind the Australian in the ATP Live Race (13th v 9th) and will go ahead of him on that list if he can win this match.
Fils has a 16-5 record on outdoor hard courts this year. He's reached at least the last eight in five tournaments with one final reached.
So far in this tournament, he's beaten Yannick Hanfmann and ninth seed Jiri Lehecka.
A tie-break was played in both of those matches.
Alex de Minaur leads his opponent 2-1 in previous meetings. This is their first match on an outdoor hard court. The most recent meeting saw de Minaur win on his way to lifting the Rotterdam title and included a tie-break. .
He has beaten Quentin Halys (in three sets) and Cameron Norrie so far here, both seeing a tie-break played.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Arthur Fils v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.55 | 2.46 |
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1.58 | 2.56 |
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1.54 | 2.5 |
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1.54 | 2.5 |
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1.57 | 2.38 |
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Who will win the Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur game on 19/08/2026 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Arthur Fils has a 49.86% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.58.
- Alex De Minaur has a 50.14% probability of winning facing Arthur Fils ⭐ with odds of 2.56 at 1xbet.
Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Arthur Fils has a 49.86 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | 49.86 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 50.14 % |
Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Form
Arthur Fils and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
8 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
6 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
6 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
31 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
30 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
8 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
18 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona
Arthur Fils - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- The last match played between these two players included a tie-break.
- De Minaur has played a tie-break in both of his matches in this tournament.
- Fils has also had to play a tie-break in his two matches played in this Cincinnati Open.
- Before this tournament, de Minaur had played a tie-break in four of his last six outdoor hard court matches.
- Only three of the last ten matches Fils has played on this surface have not included a tie-break.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
There's not a great deal to choose between these two players. Both have had successful years and a side bet on this going to a deciding set may well be profitable. Looking at their statistics, we look to be heading for at least one tie-break in this match.
Both of these players are regularly seeing sets going to 7-6. That's particularly so for Arthur Fils. The Frenchman had a match in Miami this year that included three tie-breaks. Our Arthur Fils v Alex de Minaur prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.