Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Bastad Open
ATP - ATP Bastad Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Two of the top three seeds face each other in the Nordea Open semi-finals in Bastad. Top seed Andrey Rublev is up against the third-seeded Alejandro Tabilo. Their two previous meetings both saw a tie-break played. Our prediction here is that more than 0.5 tie-breaks will be played in this match.
Whoever wins will take on either defending champion Luciano Darderi or unseeded Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the final.
World number 16 Andrey Rublev is attempting to reach his second ATP Tour clay court final of the year, the other being in Barcelona. He had lost his last three matches before this tournament but has returned to form back on clay.
He had to go to three sets to beat Andrea Pellegrino in his opening match. Two tie-breaks were played in that match. It was a lot easier for him in the quarter-finals as he beat Sebastian Baez for the loss of only three games.
Six of his last eight clay court matches have seen at least one tie-break played.
Alejandro Tabilo has reached one ATP Tour clay court final this year. He has also won one Challenger Tour title in 2026. Tabilo has only had to play one match so far. He beat Lautaro Midon in three sets and then received a walkover against Thiago Agustin Tirante.
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Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Tabilo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.43 | 2.83 |
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1.43 | 2.83 |
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|
1.43 | 2.83 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
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|
1.4 | 2.76 |
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Who will win the Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo game on 18/07/2026 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:
- Andrey Rublev has a 59.97% chance to win against Alejandro Tabilo according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 40.03% probability of winning facing Andrey Rublev ⭐ with odds of 3.1 at Shangrila.
Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Andrey Rublev has a 59.97 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | 59.97 % |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 40.03 % |
Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Form
Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Tabilo Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
17 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
16 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
31 May 2026 - ATP French Open
29 May 2026 - ATP French Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
16 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
30 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
23 Jun 2026 - ATP Mallorca Open
16 Jun 2026 - ATP London - Queen's
1 Jun 2026 - ATP French Open
30 May 2026 - ATP French Open
Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
23 Oct 2024 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo Key Points
- Six of the last eight clay court matches Rublev has played have included a tie-break.
- Rublev played two tie-breaks in his first match here this week.
- Both of the previous two matches between Rublev and Tabilo saw a tie-break played.
- A tie-break has been played in three of Tabilo's last five clay court matches.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction
Top seed Andrey Rublev last won an ATP Tour clay court title two years ago in Madrid. After a shaky opening match in Bastad, he was ruthless against Sebastian Baez in his quarter-final. He will find this match against Tabilo (1-1 in previous meetings) tougher.
Alejandro Tabilo has reached three previous ATP Tour clay court finals, most recently in Rio this year. Both of his previous matches against Rublev included a tie-break. Our Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Tabilo prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
