South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Alianza Lima have a match against Universidad Catolica in the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana. Hosts Alianza will be playing here as a result of finishing third in their Copa Libertadores group, and Catolica topped their Sudamericana group. We have a prediction for the match below.
Alianza eliminated Brazilian side Gremio in the knockout playoffs, winning 3-1 on aggregate. The two matches were part of their current run that has one defeat in the last 10 matches.
Alianza are coming off their fifth win in the last 10 matches after a 1-0 win at Ayacucho. At home, they’ve also won five times in their last six matches and lost just twice.
Universidad Catolica have also done well ahead of this game, posting four wins in their last five matches. The visitors topped their Sudamericana group with 14 points.
They wrapped up the group stage unbeaten, winning four of the six matches played. Only one team finished the group stage with more points.
Coming into this game, Universidad Catolica are unbeaten in their last five matches and have suffered two defeats only in the last 10 games. Like their hosts, Universidad Catolica have also managed five wins in their last 10 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alianza Lima v Universidad Catolica Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.3 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.3 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Alianza Lima and Universidad Catolica?
Our prediction for the Alianza Lima vs Universidad Catolica match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2025 between Alianza Lima and Universidad Catolica in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.54% for a win of Alianza Lima against Universidad Catolica with odds of 1.91 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alianza Lima vs Universidad Catolica is 35.85% with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Universidad Catolica vs Alianza Lima with odds of 4.5 at Betfred.
Alianza Lima - Universidad Catolica Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alianza Lima Universidad Catolica Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima wins | 44.54% | 1.91 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.86% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | 2.02 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Alianza Lima | 21.73% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Alianza Lima vs Universidad Catolica Form
Alianza Lima and Universidad Catolica Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
5 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
31 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
27 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
19 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
27 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
16 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
14 Jun 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
19 May 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
31 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
19 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
12 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
28 Jun 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
3 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
31 Jul 2025 - Copa Ecuador
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
19 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
12 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
19 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
29 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
25 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2025 - Liga Pro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
31 Jul 2025 - Copa Ecuador
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
12 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
5 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
21 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
Alianza Lima against Universidad Catolica Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Alianza Lima
Universidad Catolica
P. Guerrero
(14 Goals)
B. Palacios
(18 Goals)
K. Quevedo
(5 Assists)
, 
H. Barcos
(5 Assists)
,
E. Castillo
(5 Assists)
M. Diaz
(3 Assists)
Alianza Lima - Universidad Catolica Key Points
- Universidad Catolica lost only two of their last 10 matches.
- Universidad Catolica managed just four wins in 15 away matches.
- Alianza Lima posted three draws in their last five home games.
- Alianza Lima lost only once in their last 10 matches.
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Our Alianza Lima vs Universidad Catolica Prediction
Alianza Lima have the chance to take the lead in this tie as they play at home. They’ve, however, failed time and again to take that advantage, as seen in their three draws in the last five home games.
This will be made tougher by the fact that they face a team with only one loss in the last 10 matches. Universidad Catolica will be looking to extend their run of five unbeaten matches coming here but they’ve managed just four wins in 10 away games. Our prediction for Alianza Lima v Universidad Catolica is for the game to end in a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alianza Lima Universidad Catolica
| Alianza Lima vs Universidad Catolica | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima wins | 1.85 | 1.85 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| Universidad Catolica wins | 4 | 4.33 | +8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Alianza Lima is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 54.1% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
