Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP 3 Germany
Alexander Zverev
19/08/2026 11:00
ATP 24 USA
Tommy Paul

Prediction :

 

More than 21.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions

Top seed Alexander Zverev beat Tommy Paul earlier in the year in the Australian Open. Zverev meets the 18th seed Tommy Paul in round four of the outdoor hard court Cincinnati Open. Going by previous matches, our prediction is more than 21.5 games.

The winner will take on either seventh seed Flavio Cobolli or in-form 12th-seeded Rafael Jodar in the last eight.

Alexander Zverev has won 17 of his 23 outdoor hard court matches played this year. 

After a disappointing loss to Tallon Griekspoor in Montreal, he has beaten Cameron Norrie and Terence Atmane in Cincinnati. The latter was won via two tie-breaks so a side bet on one  here is a good idea.

More than 21.5 games have been played in six of his last seven matches on this surface.

Tommy Paul leads Zverev 2-1 in previous meetings, all played on outdoor hard courts. Their most recent best-of-three sets match saw 31 games played. There have been three tie-breaks played in their last two matches.

Paul has a 16-8 record on outdoor hard courts this year with the final reached in Delray Beach. It's been a bit of a struggle for him to reach this fourth round. Both his wins over Hubert Hurkacz and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo went to a deciding set. 

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Alexander Zverev v Tommy Paul Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.4 2.95
1xbet
1.42 3.12
Melbet
1.39 2.99
Betwinner
1.39 2.99
Bet365
1.4 3
Check all Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul odds

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Who will win the Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul match is: more than 21.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul game on 19/08/2026 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:

  • Alexander Zverev has a 69.91% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.42.
  • Tommy Paul has a 30.09% probability of winning facing Alexander Zverev ⭐ with odds of 3.12 at 1xbet.

Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Zverev has a 69.91 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alexander Zverev69.91 %
Tommy Paul30.09 %

Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Form

Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul Last Matches

Alexander Zverev Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

17 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Terence Atmane

15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Cameron Norrie

5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Alexander Zverev
1 :  2
Tallon Griekspoor

12 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Alexander Zverev

10 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Arthur Fery
0 :  3
Alexander Zverev

8 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Taylor Fritz
0 :  3
Alexander Zverev
Tommy Paul Last matches
L L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

7 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Valentin Royer
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

28 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Kamil Majchrzak
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

3 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Hubert Hurkacz
3 :  1
Tommy Paul

Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Zverev

100 %

Tommy Paul

0 %

20 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  3
Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Alexander Zverev - Tommy Paul Key Points

  1. More than 21.5 games were played in the last best-of-three sets match between these two players.
  2. Paul has played more than 21.5 games in seven of his last nine outdoor hard court matches
  3. Six of the last seven outdoor hard court matches played by Zverev have had more than 21.5 games played.
  4. Zverev played two tie-breaks in his last match.
  5. Paul has played either a 7-5 or 7-6 set in four of his last six matches, including three tie-breaks against Fils in Miami.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Alexander Zverev may be the top seed in this tournament but he has had a few struggles already in Cincinnati. He had to come from a set down to beat Cameron Norrie and then needed two tie-breaks to defeat Terence Atmane.

it's not been easy for Tommy Paul either with both of his matches so far in this Masters tournament going to a deciding set. A tie-break is definitely something to bet on here. Our main Alexander Zverev v Tommy Paul prediction is more than 21.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 21.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.